{"id":34984,"date":"2026-03-16T17:31:30","date_gmt":"2026-03-16T10:31:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/?p=34984"},"modified":"2026-03-16T17:31:30","modified_gmt":"2026-03-16T10:31:30","slug":"phan-tich-du-lieu-on-chain-bitcoin-tuan-11-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/phan-tich-du-lieu-on-chain-bitcoin-tuan-11-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch d\u1eef li\u1ec7u on-chain Bitcoin tu\u1ea7n 11\/2026: Bitcoin ti\u1ebfn g\u1ea7n v\u00f9ng \u201cbear market\u201d: On-chain cho th\u1ea5y \u00e1p l\u1ef1c b\u00e1n t\u0103ng nh\u01b0ng c\u00e1 voi b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u t\u00edch l\u0169y"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">D\u1eef li\u1ec7u c\u1eadp nh\u1eadt t\u1eeb ng\u00e0y 09\/03 &#8211; 15\/03.<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Nhi\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o on-chain <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/bitcoin-la-gi-tong-quan-ve-dong-tien-dien-tu-dau-tien\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Bitcoin<\/a> (BTC) \u0111ang cho th\u1ea5y Bitcoin b\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0o m\u1ed9t giai \u0111o\u1ea1n c\u1ef1c k\u1ef3 nh\u1ea1y c\u1ea3m c\u1ee7a chu k\u1ef3 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng. Trong khi m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh \u00e1p l\u1ef1c b\u00e1n v\u00e0 nguy c\u01a1 b\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0o th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng g\u1ea5u (bear market), c\u00e1c t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u kh\u00e1c l\u1ea1i cho th\u1ea5y d\u00f2ng ti\u1ec1n l\u1edbn \u0111ang \u00e2m th\u1ea7m t\u00edch l\u0169y \u1edf v\u00f9ng gi\u00e1 th\u1ea5p.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y t\u1ea1o ra m\u1ed9t b\u1ee9c tranh th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng kh\u00e1 ph\u1ee9c t\u1ea1p: c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n nh\u01b0ng ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n.<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Xem th\u00eam<\/strong>: <a class=\"row-title\" href=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/phan-tich-du-lieu-on-chain-bitcoin-tuan-10-2026\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" aria-label=\"\u201cPh\u00e2n t\u00edch d\u1eef li\u1ec7u on-chain Bitcoin tu\u1ea7n 10\/2026: Ngu\u1ed3n cung tr\u00ean s\u00e0n gi\u1ea3m m\u1ea1nh, nh\u01b0ng r\u1ee7i ro v\u0129 m\u00f4 v\u1eabn hi\u1ec7n h\u1eefu\u201d (Edit)\">Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch d\u1eef li\u1ec7u on-chain Bitcoin tu\u1ea7n 10\/2026: Ngu\u1ed3n cung tr\u00ean s\u00e0n gi\u1ea3m m\u1ea1nh, nh\u01b0ng r\u1ee7i ro v\u0129 m\u00f4 v\u1eabn hi\u1ec7n h\u1eefu<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_79_2 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\"><p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">N\u1ed9i dung b\u00e0i vi\u1ebft<\/p>\n<\/div><nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 ' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-1'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/phan-tich-du-lieu-on-chain-bitcoin-tuan-11-2026\/#Ty_le_LTHSTH_SOPR_tien_gan_vung_thi_truong_gau\" >T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 LTH\/STH SOPR ti\u1ebfn g\u1ea7n v\u00f9ng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng g\u1ea5u<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-1'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/phan-tich-du-lieu-on-chain-bitcoin-tuan-11-2026\/#Ca_voi_%E2%80%9Cdolphins%E2%80%9D_van_tich_luy_nhung_toc_do_cham_lai\" >C\u00e1 voi \u201cdolphins\u201d v\u1eabn t\u00edch l\u0169y nh\u01b0ng t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u1eadm l\u1ea1i<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-1'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/phan-tich-du-lieu-on-chain-bitcoin-tuan-11-2026\/#Moc_70000_USD_tro_thanh_%E2%80%9CInflection_Floor%E2%80%9D_%E2%80%93_vung_phong_thu_cua_thi_truong\" >M\u1ed1c 70,000 USD tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh \u201cInflection Floor\u201d &#8211; v\u00f9ng ph\u00f2ng th\u1ee7 c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-1'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/phan-tich-du-lieu-on-chain-bitcoin-tuan-11-2026\/#Dong_tien_to_chuc_dang_hap_thu_ap_luc_ban\" >D\u00f2ng ti\u1ec1n t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c \u0111ang h\u1ea5p th\u1ee5 \u00e1p l\u1ef1c b\u00e1n<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-1'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-5\" href=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/phan-tich-du-lieu-on-chain-bitcoin-tuan-11-2026\/#Exchange_Whale_Ratio_cao_nhat_6_nam_Ca_voi_dang_gom_hang\" >Exchange Whale Ratio cao nh\u1ea5t 6 n\u0103m: C\u00e1 voi \u0111ang gom h\u00e0ng<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-1'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-6\" href=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/phan-tich-du-lieu-on-chain-bitcoin-tuan-11-2026\/#Rui_ro_dia_chinh_tri_van_co_the_gay_ap_luc_ngan_han\" >R\u1ee7i ro \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb v\u1eabn c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 g\u00e2y \u00e1p l\u1ef1c ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-1'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-7\" href=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/phan-tich-du-lieu-on-chain-bitcoin-tuan-11-2026\/#Ket_luan\" >K\u1ebft lu\u1eadn<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h1><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Ty_le_LTHSTH_SOPR_tien_gan_vung_thi_truong_gau\"><\/span><b>T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 LTH\/STH SOPR ti\u1ebfn g\u1ea7n v\u00f9ng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng g\u1ea5u<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h1>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">M\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o on-chain Bitcoin quan tr\u1ecdng nh\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n nay l\u00e0 LTH\/STH SOPR Ratio.<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">SOPR (Spent Output Profit Ratio &#8211; t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn khi chi ti\u00eau coin) \u0111o l\u01b0\u1eddng li\u1ec7u c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 \u0111ang b\u00e1n Bitcoin c\u00f3 l\u00e3i hay l\u1ed7.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">LTH (Long-Term Holders &#8211; nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 n\u1eafm gi\u1eef d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n) l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi gi\u1eef BTC tr\u00ean 155 ng\u00e0y.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">STH (Short-Term Holders &#8211; nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n) l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi gi\u1eef BTC d\u01b0\u1edbi 155 ng\u00e0y.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Khi t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 SOPR gi\u1eefa LTH v\u00e0 STH gi\u1ea3m m\u1ea1nh, \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 cho th\u1ea5y:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u b\u00e1n coin \u1edf tr\u1ea1ng th\u00e1i l\u1ed7<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n chi\u1ebfm ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng giao d\u1ecbch<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u00c1p l\u1ef1c b\u00e1n lan r\u1ed9ng tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Trong c\u00e1c chu k\u1ef3 tr\u01b0\u1edbc, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 2019 v\u00e0 2022 &#8211; 2023, t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 n\u00e0y th\u01b0\u1eddng gi\u1ea3m xu\u1ed1ng v\u00f9ng 0.5 &#8211; 0.6 khi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng b\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0o giai \u0111o\u1ea1n bear market (th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng g\u1ea5u).<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i, ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o n\u00e0y \u0111ang ti\u1ebfn g\u1ea7n khu v\u1ef1c \u0111\u00f3 m\u1ed9t l\u1ea7n n\u1eefa. N\u1ebfu ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c gi\u1ea3m v\u1ec1 0.5, \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f3 ngh\u0129a l\u00e0:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Long-term holders b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u capitulation (\u0111\u1ea7u h\u00e0ng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng)<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u00c1p l\u1ef1c b\u00e1n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh h\u01a1n tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u1ea1o \u0111\u00e1y.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<figure id=\"attachment_34985\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-34985\" style=\"width: 1280px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-34985\" src=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/03-13-01-builink-bitcoin-sopr.png\" alt=\"LTH vs STH SOPR Ratio\" width=\"1280\" height=\"720\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/03-13-01-builink-bitcoin-sopr.png 1280w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/03-13-01-builink-bitcoin-sopr-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/03-13-01-builink-bitcoin-sopr-1024x576.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/03-13-01-builink-bitcoin-sopr-150x84.png 150w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/03-13-01-builink-bitcoin-sopr-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/03-13-01-builink-bitcoin-sopr-450x253.png 450w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/03-13-01-builink-bitcoin-sopr-1200x675.png 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1280px) 100vw, 1280px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-34985\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">LTH vs STH SOPR Ratio<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h1><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Ca_voi_%E2%80%9Cdolphins%E2%80%9D_van_tich_luy_nhung_toc_do_cham_lai\"><\/span><b>C\u00e1 voi \u201cdolphins\u201d v\u1eabn t\u00edch l\u0169y nh\u01b0ng t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u1eadm l\u1ea1i<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h1>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">M\u1ed9t t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u quan tr\u1ecdng kh\u00e1c \u0111\u1ebfn t\u1eeb nh\u00f3m nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c g\u1ecdi l\u00e0 \u201cdolphins\u201d.<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Dolphins: v\u00ed n\u1eafm gi\u1eef 100 &#8211; 1,000 BTC<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 nh\u00f3m nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 trung gian gi\u1eefa retail v\u00e0 c\u00e1 voi l\u1edbn<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Trong n\u0103m 2025, nh\u00f3m n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 t\u00edch l\u0169y m\u1ea1nh v\u1edbi t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 t\u0103ng n\u1eafm gi\u1eef \u0111\u1ea1t g\u1ea7n 900,000 BTC m\u1ed7i n\u0103m. Tuy nhi\u00ean g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">T\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 t\u00edch l\u0169y gi\u1ea3m xu\u1ed1ng kho\u1ea3ng 440,000 BTC<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Sau \u0111\u00f3 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i nh\u1eb9 l\u00ean 550,000 BTC<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y c\u00f3 ngh\u0129a l\u00e0 dolphins v\u1eabn \u0111ang mua r\u00f2ng nh\u01b0ng \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c t\u00edch l\u0169y \u0111\u00e3 ch\u1eadm l\u1ea1i. Th\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1eddng trong chu k\u1ef3 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng khi t\u00edch l\u0169y t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh th\u00ec th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u0103ng. Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, n\u1ebfu t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 t\u00edch l\u0169y ch\u1eadm l\u1ea1i th\u00ec l\u00e0 giai \u0111o\u1ea1n \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh ho\u1eb7c ph\u00e2n ph\u1ed1i. V\u00ec v\u1eady, d\u1eef li\u1ec7u on-chain Bitcoin hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i cho th\u1ea5y d\u00f2ng ti\u1ec1n th\u00f4ng minh v\u1eabn h\u1ea5p th\u1ee5 thanh kho\u1ea3n, nh\u01b0ng kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n qu\u00e1 h\u01b0ng ph\u1ea5n nh\u01b0 tr\u01b0\u1edbc.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_34986\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-34986\" style=\"width: 1280px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-34986\" src=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/03-13-02-builink-bitcoin-dolphin-holding.png\" alt=\"BTC: Dolphin Holdings Growth Rate\" width=\"1280\" height=\"720\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/03-13-02-builink-bitcoin-dolphin-holding.png 1280w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/03-13-02-builink-bitcoin-dolphin-holding-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/03-13-02-builink-bitcoin-dolphin-holding-1024x576.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/03-13-02-builink-bitcoin-dolphin-holding-150x84.png 150w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/03-13-02-builink-bitcoin-dolphin-holding-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/03-13-02-builink-bitcoin-dolphin-holding-450x253.png 450w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/03-13-02-builink-bitcoin-dolphin-holding-1200x675.png 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1280px) 100vw, 1280px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-34986\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">BTC: Dolphin Holdings Growth Rate<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h1><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Moc_70000_USD_tro_thanh_%E2%80%9CInflection_Floor%E2%80%9D_%E2%80%93_vung_phong_thu_cua_thi_truong\"><\/span><b>M\u1ed1c 70,000 USD tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh \u201cInflection Floor\u201d &#8211; v\u00f9ng ph\u00f2ng th\u1ee7 c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h1>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">M\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch on-chain Bitcoin ch\u1ec9 ra r\u1eb1ng khu v\u1ef1c 70,000 USD \u0111ang tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh \u201cInflection Floor\u201d (v\u00f9ng \u0111\u00e1y chuy\u1ec3n pha).<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o LTH-SOPR hi\u1ec7n \u1edf kho\u1ea3ng 1.01, cho th\u1ea5y:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n v\u1eabn b\u00e1n c\u00f3 l\u00e3i nh\u1eb9<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">V\u00e0 \u0111ang b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 v\u00f9ng gi\u00e1 v\u1ed1n kho\u1ea3ng 70,675 USD<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<figure id=\"attachment_34989\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-34989\" style=\"width: 1280px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-34989\" src=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/03-13-05-builink-bitcoin-long-term-sopr.png\" alt=\"LTH-SOPR\" width=\"1280\" height=\"720\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/03-13-05-builink-bitcoin-long-term-sopr.png 1280w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/03-13-05-builink-bitcoin-long-term-sopr-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/03-13-05-builink-bitcoin-long-term-sopr-1024x576.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/03-13-05-builink-bitcoin-long-term-sopr-150x84.png 150w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/03-13-05-builink-bitcoin-long-term-sopr-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/03-13-05-builink-bitcoin-long-term-sopr-450x253.png 450w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/03-13-05-builink-bitcoin-long-term-sopr-1200x675.png 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1280px) 100vw, 1280px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-34989\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">LTH-SOPR<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">C\u00f9ng l\u00fac \u0111\u00f3, Puell Multiple (ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 \u0111o doanh thu miner so v\u1edbi trung b\u00ecnh l\u1ecbch s\u1eed) \u0111ang \u1edf 0.60. Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 n\u00e0y g\u1ea7n v\u1edbi v\u00f9ng 0.50, v\u1ed1n th\u01b0\u1eddng xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i \u0111\u00e1y chu k\u1ef3 ho\u1eb7c giai \u0111o\u1ea1n miner capitulation (th\u1ee3 \u0111\u00e0o b\u00e1n m\u1ea1nh).<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y cho th\u1ea5y Bitcoin \u0111ang \u1edf v\u00f9ng \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 th\u1ea5p (undervaluation) theo l\u1ecbch s\u1eed.<\/span><\/p>\n<h1><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Dong_tien_to_chuc_dang_hap_thu_ap_luc_ban\"><\/span><b>D\u00f2ng ti\u1ec1n t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c \u0111ang h\u1ea5p th\u1ee5 \u00e1p l\u1ef1c b\u00e1n<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h1>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">M\u1ed9t di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u00e1ng ch\u00fa \u00fd l\u00e0 s\u1ef1 <\/span><b>xoay v\u00f2ng gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c nh\u00f3m c\u00e1 voi<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Ng\u00e0y 13\/3:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Nh\u00f3m v\u00ed 1.000 &#8211; 10,000 BTC b\u00e1n ra kho\u1ea3ng 16,100 BTC<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Nh\u01b0ng nh\u00f3m Mega-whales (&gt;10,000 BTC) v\u00e0 Dolphins (100 &#8211; 1,000 BTC) l\u1ea1i mua v\u00e0o<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u0110i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00e1ng ch\u00fa \u00fd l\u00e0 d\u00f9 c\u00f3 16,000 BTC b\u1ecb b\u00e1n ra nh\u01b0ng gi\u00e1 Bitcoin ch\u1ec9 gi\u1ea3m 0.33%. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y cho th\u1ea5y <\/span><b>th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111ang h\u1ea5p th\u1ee5 thanh kho\u1ea3n r\u1ea5t m\u1ea1nh<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Ngo\u00e0i ra, d\u00f2ng ti\u1ec1n t\u1eeb ETF c\u0169ng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">763 tri\u1ec7u USD inflow trong tu\u1ea7n<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Ri\u00eang ng\u00e0y 13\/3 \u0111\u1ea1t 180 tri\u1ec7u USD<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u cho th\u1ea5y <\/span><b>t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c \u0111ang mua v\u00e0o khi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng y\u1ebfu<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">.<\/span><\/p>\n<h1><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Exchange_Whale_Ratio_cao_nhat_6_nam_Ca_voi_dang_gom_hang\"><\/span><b>Exchange Whale Ratio cao nh\u1ea5t 6 n\u0103m: C\u00e1 voi \u0111ang gom h\u00e0ng<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h1>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">M\u1ed9t ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o on-chain Bitcoin quan tr\u1ecdng kh\u00e1c l\u00e0 Exchange Whale Ratio (t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 c\u00e1 voi tr\u00ean s\u00e0n giao d\u1ecbch). Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 n\u00e0y \u0111o l\u01b0\u1eddng t\u1ef7 tr\u1ecdng giao d\u1ecbch c\u1ee7a v\u00ed l\u1edbn so v\u1edbi t\u1ed5ng giao d\u1ecbch tr\u00ean s\u00e0n.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 n\u00e0y \u0111ang \u1edf m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t trong 6 n\u0103m. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y th\u01b0\u1eddng x\u1ea3y ra khi c\u00e1 voi mua \u1edf v\u00f9ng gi\u00e1 th\u1ea5p ho\u1eb7c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 nh\u1ecf l\u1ebb b\u00e1n ra trong ho\u1ea3ng lo\u1ea1n.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">D\u1eef li\u1ec7u on-chain Bitcoin \u0111ang cho th\u1ea5y t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 giao d\u1ecbch c\u1ee7a retail \u0111ang \u1edf m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t 6 n\u0103m trong khi c\u00e1 voi \u0111ang t\u00edch l\u0169y m\u1ea1nh. Trong c\u00e1c chu k\u1ef3 tr\u01b0\u1edbc, khi Exchange Whale Ratio \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ec9nh, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng th\u01b0\u1eddng t\u1ea1o \u0111\u00e1y ho\u1eb7c b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng m\u1edbi.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_34990\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-34990\" style=\"width: 2000px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-34990\" src=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/03-13-06-builink-bitcoin-exchange-whale-ratio.png\" alt=\"Exchange Whale Ratio\" width=\"2000\" height=\"939\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/03-13-06-builink-bitcoin-exchange-whale-ratio.png 2000w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/03-13-06-builink-bitcoin-exchange-whale-ratio-300x141.png 300w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/03-13-06-builink-bitcoin-exchange-whale-ratio-1024x481.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/03-13-06-builink-bitcoin-exchange-whale-ratio-150x70.png 150w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/03-13-06-builink-bitcoin-exchange-whale-ratio-768x361.png 768w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/03-13-06-builink-bitcoin-exchange-whale-ratio-1536x721.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/03-13-06-builink-bitcoin-exchange-whale-ratio-450x211.png 450w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/03-13-06-builink-bitcoin-exchange-whale-ratio-1200x563.png 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-34990\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Exchange Whale Ratio<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h1><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Rui_ro_dia_chinh_tri_van_co_the_gay_ap_luc_ngan_han\"><\/span><b>R\u1ee7i ro \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb v\u1eabn c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 g\u00e2y \u00e1p l\u1ef1c ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h1>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Ngo\u00e0i y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 on-chain, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00f2n ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi r\u1ee7i ro v\u0129 m\u00f4.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">M\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng \u0111i\u1ec3m n\u00f3ng l\u00e0 Strait of Hormuz (eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz) &#8211; tuy\u1ebfn v\u1eadn chuy\u1ec3n kho\u1ea3ng 20 tri\u1ec7u th\u00f9ng d\u1ea7u m\u1ed7i ng\u00e0y. N\u1ebfu tuy\u1ebfn \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng n\u00e0y b\u1ecb gi\u00e1n \u0111o\u1ea1n gi\u00e1 n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh, l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t t\u0103ng v\u00e0 ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng th\u1eaft ch\u1eb7t ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Trong m\u00f4i tr\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0 v\u1eady, Bitcoin th\u01b0\u1eddng ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng gi\u1ed1ng t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n r\u1ee7i ro (risk asset) h\u01a1n l\u00e0 safe haven (t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n tr\u00fa \u1ea9n). <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Do \u0111\u00f3, c\u00e1c c\u00fa s\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb th\u01b0\u1eddng g\u00e2y ra chu\u1ed7i thanh l\u00fd \u0111\u00f2n b\u1ea9y ho\u1eb7c b\u00e1n th\u00e1o ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n do thanh kho\u1ea3n<\/span><\/p>\n<h1><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Ket_luan\"><\/span><b>K\u1ebft lu\u1eadn<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h1>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">C\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o on-chain Bitcoin \u0111ang v\u1ebd ra m\u1ed9t b\u1ee9c tranh th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng hai chi\u1ec1u:<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>T\u00edn hi\u1ec7u ti\u00eau c\u1ef1c<\/b><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">LTH\/STH SOPR ti\u1ebfn g\u1ea7n v\u00f9ng bear market<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u00c1p l\u1ef1c b\u00e1n t\u1eeb nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">T\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng t\u00edch l\u0169y c\u1ee7a dolphins ch\u1eadm l\u1ea1i<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><b>T\u00edn hi\u1ec7u t\u00edch c\u1ef1c<\/b><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">C\u00e1 voi \u0111ang t\u00edch l\u0169y m\u1ea1nh<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">ETF li\u00ean t\u1ee5c h\u00fat thanh kho\u1ea3n<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">V\u00f9ng 70.000 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 nh\u01b0 \u201cinflection floor\u201d<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y cho th\u1ea5y Bitcoin c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111ang \u1edf giai \u0111o\u1ea1n cu\u1ed1i c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t pha capitulation (\u0111\u1ea7u h\u00e0ng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng), n\u01a1i nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 y\u1ebfu r\u1eddi b\u1ecf th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng trong khi d\u00f2ng ti\u1ec1n l\u1edbn b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u t\u00edch l\u0169y.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Trong l\u1ecbch s\u1eed, nh\u1eefng giai \u0111o\u1ea1n nh\u01b0 v\u1eady th\u01b0\u1eddng kh\u00f4ng k\u00e9o d\u00e0i qu\u00e1 l\u00e2u, nh\u01b0ng c\u0169ng hi\u1ebfm khi t\u1ea1o \u0111\u00e1y ngay l\u1eadp t\u1ee9c. Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 c\u1ea7n th\u00eam th\u1eddi gian \u0111\u1ec3 h\u1ea5p th\u1ee5 thanh kho\u1ea3n v\u00e0 \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi b\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0o xu h\u01b0\u1edbng m\u1edbi.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>D\u1eef li\u1ec7u c\u1eadp nh\u1eadt t\u1eeb ng\u00e0y 09\/03 &#8211; 15\/03. Nhi\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o on-chain Bitcoin (BTC) \u0111ang cho th\u1ea5y Bitcoin b\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0o m\u1ed9t giai \u0111o\u1ea1n c\u1ef1c k\u1ef3 nh\u1ea1y c\u1ea3m c\u1ee7a chu k\u1ef3 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng. Trong khi m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh \u00e1p l\u1ef1c b\u00e1n v\u00e0 nguy c\u01a1 b\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0o th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng g\u1ea5u (bear market), c\u00e1c<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":23,"featured_media":34991,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[21849],"tags":[221,3102,8097],"class_list":{"0":"post-34984","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-phan-tich-nhan-dinh","8":"tag-bitcoin","9":"tag-btc","10":"tag-on-chain"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v25.0 (Yoast SEO v26.6) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch d\u1eef li\u1ec7u on-chain Bitcoin tu\u1ea7n 11\/2026 - Fiahub<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"C\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o on-chain Bitcoin v\u1ebd ra m\u1ed9t b\u1ee9c 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