{"id":34905,"date":"2026-03-07T20:53:26","date_gmt":"2026-03-07T13:53:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/?p=34905"},"modified":"2026-03-07T20:59:07","modified_gmt":"2026-03-07T13:59:07","slug":"polymarket-va-kalshi-nham-toi-dinh-gia-20-ty-do-trong-vong-goi-von-moi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/polymarket-va-kalshi-nham-toi-dinh-gia-20-ty-do-trong-vong-goi-von-moi\/","title":{"rendered":"Polymarket v\u00e0 Kalshi nh\u1eafm t\u1edbi \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 20 t\u1ef7 \u0111\u00f4 trong v\u00f2ng g\u1ecdi v\u1ed1n m\u1edbi"},"content":{"rendered":"<p data-path-to-node=\"7\"><strong>B\u1ea5t ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eefng b\u00f3ng \u0111en v\u1ec1 c\u00e1o bu\u1ed9c giao d\u1ecbch n\u1ed9i gi\u00e1n v\u00e0 s\u1ef1 gi\u00e1m s\u00e1t ch\u1eb7t ch\u1ebd t\u1eeb c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 l\u1eadp ph\u00e1p, hai n\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n h\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ea7u l\u00e0 Polymarket v\u00e0 Kalshi \u0111ang ti\u1ebfn h\u00e0nh c\u00e1c v\u00f2ng g\u1ecdi v\u1ed1n m\u1edbi v\u1edbi tham v\u1ecdng \u0111\u01b0a \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 l\u00ean m\u1ee9c 20 t\u1ef7 USD.<\/strong><\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_79_2 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\"><p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">N\u1ed9i dung b\u00e0i vi\u1ebft<\/p>\n<\/div><nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 ' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/polymarket-va-kalshi-nham-toi-dinh-gia-20-ty-do-trong-vong-goi-von-moi\/#Dinh_gia_tang_vot_gap_doi_trong_thoi_gian_ngan\" >\u0110\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 t\u0103ng v\u1ecdt g\u1ea5p \u0111\u00f4i trong th\u1eddi gian ng\u1eafn<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/polymarket-va-kalshi-nham-toi-dinh-gia-20-ty-do-trong-vong-goi-von-moi\/#Su_bung_no_ve_doanh_thu_va_ke_hoach_tan_cong_thi_truong_My\" >S\u1ef1 b\u00f9ng n\u1ed5 v\u1ec1 doanh thu v\u00e0 k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng M\u1ef9<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/polymarket-va-kalshi-nham-toi-dinh-gia-20-ty-do-trong-vong-goi-von-moi\/#Bong_den_Giao_dich_noi_gian_va_ap_luc_tu_Washington\" >B\u00f3ng \u0111en Giao d\u1ecbch n\u1ed9i gi\u00e1n v\u00e0 \u00e1p l\u1ef1c t\u1eeb Washington<\/a><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-3' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/polymarket-va-kalshi-nham-toi-dinh-gia-20-ty-do-trong-vong-goi-von-moi\/#Ket_luan\" >K\u1ebft lu\u1eadn<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2 data-path-to-node=\"8\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Dinh_gia_tang_vot_gap_doi_trong_thoi_gian_ngan\"><\/span>\u0110\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 t\u0103ng v\u1ecdt g\u1ea5p \u0111\u00f4i trong th\u1eddi gian ng\u1eafn<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"9\">Theo b\u00e1o c\u00e1o t\u1eeb <i data-path-to-node=\"9\" data-index-in-node=\"16\">Wall Street Journal<\/i>, c\u1ea3 Kalshi v\u00e0 Polymarket \u0111\u1ec1u \u0111ang trong qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh th\u1ea3o lu\u1eadn s\u01a1 b\u1ed9 v\u1edbi c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c huy \u0111\u1ed9ng v\u1ed1n m\u1edbi. N\u1ebfu th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng, con s\u1ed1 20 t\u1ef7 USD s\u1ebd \u0111\u00e1nh d\u1ea5u b\u01b0\u1edbc nh\u1ea3y v\u1ecdt, g\u1ea5p \u0111\u00f4i \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 g\u1ea7n nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a c\u1ea3 hai c\u00f4ng ty.<\/p>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"10,0,0\">Kalshi hi\u1ec7n ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng h\u1ee3p ph\u00e1p t\u1ea1i M\u1ef9, v\u1eeba \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 kho\u1ea3ng 11 t\u1ef7 USD v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 12 n\u0103m ngo\u00e1i sau khi huy \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c 1 t\u1ef7 USD t\u1eeb c\u00e1c \u00f4ng l\u1edbn nh\u01b0 Paradigm v\u00e0 Sequoia Capital. Trong khi \u0111\u00f3 Polymarket d\u00f9 hi\u1ec7n v\u1eabn ch\u01b0a cho ph\u00e9p ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00f9ng M\u1ef9 truy c\u1eadp tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp, n\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 kho\u1ea3ng 9 t\u1ef7 USD v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 10\/2024, sau khi nh\u1eadn <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/ice-nyse-dau-tu-2-ty-usd-polymarket\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">kho\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 l\u00ean t\u1edbi 2 t\u1ef7 USD<\/a> t\u1eeb Intercontinental Exchange (\u0111\u01a1n v\u1ecb s\u1edf h\u1eefu s\u00e0n NYSE).<\/p>\n<h2 data-path-to-node=\"11\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Su_bung_no_ve_doanh_thu_va_ke_hoach_tan_cong_thi_truong_My\"><\/span>S\u1ef1 b\u00f9ng n\u1ed5 v\u1ec1 doanh thu v\u00e0 k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng M\u1ef9<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"12\">S\u1ef1 t\u1ef1 tin v\u1ec1 \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c n\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng n\u00e0y \u0111\u1ebfn t\u1eeb t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng ch\u00f3ng m\u1eb7t. Kalshi \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u00e0nh l\u1eadp t\u1eeb n\u0103m 2018, n\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 nh\u1eadn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1ef1 ch\u1ea5p thu\u1eadn c\u1ee7a CFTC \u0111\u1ec3 ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t s\u00e0n giao d\u1ecbch c\u00f3 quy \u0111\u1ecbnh. Hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i, t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 doanh thu c\u1ee7a Kalshi \u0111\u00e3 v\u01b0\u1ee3t ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng 1 t\u1ef7 USD, th\u1eadm ch\u00ed m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh cho th\u1ea5y con s\u1ed1 th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf ti\u1ec7m c\u1eadn 1,5 t\u1ef7 USD.<\/p>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"12\">Polymarket \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u00e1ng l\u1eadp b\u1edfi Shayne Coplan v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2020, c\u00f4ng ty \u0111ang r\u00e1o ri\u1ebft chu\u1ea9n b\u1ecb \u0111\u1ec3 ra m\u1eaft m\u1ed9t phi\u00ean b\u1ea3n n\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ecba c\u00f3 s\u1ef1 qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd ch\u1eb7t ch\u1ebd t\u1ea1i M\u1ef9 ngay trong n\u0103m nay.<\/p>\n<h2 data-path-to-node=\"14\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Bong_den_Giao_dich_noi_gian_va_ap_luc_tu_Washington\"><\/span>B\u00f3ng \u0111en Giao d\u1ecbch n\u1ed9i gi\u00e1n v\u00e0 \u00e1p l\u1ef1c t\u1eeb Washington<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"15\">Tuy nhi\u00ean, s\u1ef1 th\u0103ng hoa v\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh \u0111ang \u0111i k\u00e8m v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng r\u1eafc r\u1ed1i ph\u00e1p l\u00fd nghi\u00eam tr\u1ecdng. C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 l\u1eadp ph\u00e1p \u0110\u1ea3ng D\u00e2n ch\u1ee7 M\u1ef9 hi\u1ec7n \u0111ang d\u1ef1 th\u1ea3o c\u00e1c quy \u0111\u1ecbnh m\u1edbi \u0111\u1ec3 si\u1ebft ch\u1eb7t th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n sau h\u00e0ng lo\u1ea1t c\u00e1c l\u1ec7nh \u0111\u1eb7t c\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1ea7y nghi v\u1ea5n.<\/p>\n<ol start=\"1\" data-path-to-node=\"16\">\n<li>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"16,0,0\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/polymarket-dung-giua-hang-loat-drama-chinh-tri\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">C\u00e1o bu\u1ed9c<\/a> li\u00ean quan \u0111\u1ebfn qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1: Th\u01b0\u1ee3ng ngh\u1ecb s\u0129 Chris Murphy \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1eb7t nghi v\u1ea5n v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 c\u00e1 nh\u00e2n th\u00e2n c\u1eadn v\u1edbi Nh\u00e0 Tr\u1eafng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u00e3 s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng th\u00f4ng tin s\u1edbm v\u1ec1 c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Israel v\u00e0o Iran \u0111\u1ec3 tr\u1ee5c l\u1ee3i. M\u1ed9t v\u00e0i t\u00e0i kho\u1ea3n tr\u00ean Polymarket \u0111\u00e3 ki\u1ebfm \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c kho\u1ea3ng 1 tri\u1ec7u USD nh\u1edd \u0111\u1eb7t c\u01b0\u1ee3c ch\u1ec9 v\u00e0i gi\u1edd tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi c\u00e1c v\u1ee5 n\u1ed5 t\u1ea1i Tehran \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c b\u00e1o c\u00e1o.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"16,1,0\">L\u1ee3i d\u1ee5ng th\u00f4ng tin \u0111i\u1ec1u tra On-chain: M\u1ed9t nh\u00f3m v\u00ed nh\u1ecf \u0111\u00e3 thu v\u1ec1 h\u01a1n 1,2 tri\u1ec7u USD khi \u0111\u1eb7t c\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u00e0o k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 cu\u1ed9c \u0111i\u1ec1u tra n\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng DeFi Axiom, ngay tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi th\u00e1m t\u1eed blockchain ZachXBT c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 c\u00e1c c\u00e1o bu\u1ed9c li\u00ean quan.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"16,2,0\">Tin t\u1ee9c ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb: Th\u00e1ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc, m\u1ed9t t\u00e0i kho\u1ea3n kh\u00e1c \u0111\u00e3 ki\u1ebfm \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c kho\u1ea3ng 400.000 USD nh\u1edd \u0111\u1eb7t c\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u00e0o vi\u1ec7c b\u1eaft gi\u1eef T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Venezuela Nicol\u00e1s Maduro ngay tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi th\u00f4ng tin n\u00e0y tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh tin t\u1ee9c c\u00f4ng khai.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<h3 data-path-to-node=\"17\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Ket_luan\"><\/span>K\u1ebft lu\u1eadn<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"18\">Vi\u1ec7c Polymarket v\u00e0 Kalshi nh\u1eafm t\u1edbi \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 20 t\u1ef7 USD cho th\u1ea5y ni\u1ec1m tin m\u00e3nh li\u1ec7t c\u1ee7a gi\u1edbi \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 v\u00e0o t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai c\u1ee7a &#8220;Tr\u00ed tu\u1ec7 \u0111\u00e1m \u0111\u00f4ng&#8221; (Wisdom of the Crowds). Tuy nhi\u00ean, ranh gi\u1edbi gi\u1eefa d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean ph\u00e2n t\u00edch d\u1eef li\u1ec7u v\u00e0 tr\u1ee5c l\u1ee3i t\u1eeb th\u00f4ng tin n\u1ed9i b\u1ed9 \u0111ang tr\u1edf n\u00ean mong manh h\u01a1n bao gi\u1edd h\u1ebft.<\/p>\n<p data-path-to-node=\"19\">N\u1ebfu kh\u00f4ng s\u1edbm thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00e1c c\u01a1 ch\u1ebf gi\u00e1m s\u00e1t minh b\u1ea1ch, \u00e1p l\u1ef1c t\u1eeb c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 l\u1eadp ph\u00e1p c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1ebd l\u00e0 r\u00e0o c\u1ea3n l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t ng\u0103n c\u1ea3n c\u00e1c n\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng n\u00e0y \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ed9t m\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 t\u1ef7 \u0111\u00f4 nh\u01b0 k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>B\u1ea5t ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eefng b\u00f3ng \u0111en v\u1ec1 c\u00e1o bu\u1ed9c giao d\u1ecbch n\u1ed9i gi\u00e1n v\u00e0 s\u1ef1 gi\u00e1m s\u00e1t ch\u1eb7t ch\u1ebd t\u1eeb c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 l\u1eadp ph\u00e1p, hai n\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n h\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ea7u l\u00e0 Polymarket v\u00e0 Kalshi \u0111ang ti\u1ebfn h\u00e0nh c\u00e1c v\u00f2ng g\u1ecdi v\u1ed1n m\u1edbi v\u1edbi tham v\u1ecdng \u0111\u01b0a \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 l\u00ean m\u1ee9c 20 t\u1ef7 USD.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":34,"featured_media":34906,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[21841],"tags":[23307],"class_list":{"0":"post-34905","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-tin-tuc","8":"tag-polymarket"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v25.0 (Yoast SEO v26.6) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Polymarket v\u00e0 Kalshi nh\u1eafm \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 20 t\u1ef7 USD trong v\u00f2ng v\u1ed1n m\u1edbi<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Polymarket \u0111ang \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n g\u1ecdi v\u1ed1n v\u1edbi \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng 20 t\u1ef7 USD, b\u1ea5t ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eefng c\u00e1o bu\u1ed9c giao d\u1ecbch n\u1ed9i gi\u00e1n v\u00e0 \u00e1p l\u1ef1c ph\u00e1p l\u00fd t\u1eeb gi\u1edbi ch\u1ee9c M\u1ef9.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/polymarket-va-kalshi-nham-toi-dinh-gia-20-ty-do-trong-vong-goi-von-moi\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Polymarket v\u00e0 Kalshi nh\u1eafm t\u1edbi \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 20 t\u1ef7 \u0111\u00f4 trong v\u00f2ng g\u1ecdi v\u1ed1n m\u1edbi\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Polymarket \u0111ang \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n g\u1ecdi v\u1ed1n v\u1edbi \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 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