{"id":34725,"date":"2026-02-09T17:17:05","date_gmt":"2026-02-09T10:17:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/?p=34725"},"modified":"2026-02-09T17:17:05","modified_gmt":"2026-02-09T10:17:05","slug":"phan-tich-du-lieu-on-chain-bitcoin-tuan-06-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/phan-tich-du-lieu-on-chain-bitcoin-tuan-06-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch d\u1eef li\u1ec7u on-chain Bitcoin tu\u1ea7n 06\/2026: Bitcoin r\u01a1i v\u00e0o v\u00f9ng c\u1ef1c \u0111oan l\u1ecbch s\u1eed: L\u1ea7n n\u00e0y c\u00f3 kh\u00e1c 2018 &amp; 2020?"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_79_2 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\"><p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">N\u1ed9i dung b\u00e0i vi\u1ebft<\/p>\n<\/div><nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 ' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/phan-tich-du-lieu-on-chain-bitcoin-tuan-06-2026\/#Hoat_dong_tho_dao_Bitcoin_tang_vot_Hon_90000_BTC_do_vao_Binance_tu_dau_thang_2\" >Ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u1ee3 \u0111\u00e0o Bitcoin t\u0103ng v\u1ecdt: H\u01a1n 90.000 BTC \u0111\u1ed5 v\u00e0o Binance t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ea7u th\u00e1ng 2<\/a><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-3' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/phan-tich-du-lieu-on-chain-bitcoin-tuan-06-2026\/#Tho_dao_ban_ra_Ap_luc_ngan_han_hay_tai_phan_phoi_tu_nhien\" >Th\u1ee3 \u0111\u00e0o b\u00e1n ra: \u00c1p l\u1ef1c ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n hay t\u00e1i ph\u00e2n ph\u1ed1i t\u1ef1 nhi\u00ean?<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/phan-tich-du-lieu-on-chain-bitcoin-tuan-06-2026\/#Bitcoin_giam_manh_kich_hoat_lan_song_hoang_loan_tu_nha_dau_tu_nho_le\" >Bitcoin gi\u1ea3m m\u1ea1nh k\u00edch ho\u1ea1t l\u00e0n s\u00f3ng ho\u1ea3ng lo\u1ea1n t\u1eeb nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 nh\u1ecf l\u1ebb<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/phan-tich-du-lieu-on-chain-bitcoin-tuan-06-2026\/#Dong_BTC_lon_do_len_san_Dau_hieu_capitulation_dau_hang_ro_ret\" >D\u00f2ng BTC l\u1edbn \u0111\u1ed5 l\u00ean s\u00e0n: D\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u capitulation (\u0111\u1ea7u h\u00e0ng) r\u00f5 r\u1ec7t<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-5\" href=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/phan-tich-du-lieu-on-chain-bitcoin-tuan-06-2026\/#Mayer_Multiple_cham_06_Vung_qua_ban_hiem_gap_trong_lich_su_Bitcoin\" >Mayer Multiple ch\u1ea1m 0,6: V\u00f9ng qu\u00e1 b\u00e1n hi\u1ebfm g\u1eb7p trong l\u1ecbch s\u1eed Bitcoin<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-6\" href=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/phan-tich-du-lieu-on-chain-bitcoin-tuan-06-2026\/#Ket_luan\" >K\u1ebft lu\u1eadn<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Hoat_dong_tho_dao_Bitcoin_tang_vot_Hon_90000_BTC_do_vao_Binance_tu_dau_thang_2\"><\/span><b>Ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u1ee3 \u0111\u00e0o Bitcoin t\u0103ng v\u1ecdt: H\u01a1n 90.000 BTC \u0111\u1ed5 v\u00e0o Binance t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ea7u th\u00e1ng 2<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">D\u1eef li\u1ec7u on-chain <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/bitcoin-la-gi-tong-quan-ve-dong-tien-dien-tu-dau-tien\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Bitcoin<\/a> (BTC) cho th\u1ea5y ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a th\u1ee3 \u0111\u00e0o (miners) \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ea7u th\u00e1ng 2. C\u00f3 h\u01a1n 90.000 BTC \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c chuy\u1ec3n l\u00ean s\u00e0n giao d\u1ecbch Binance ch\u1ec9 trong th\u1eddi gian ng\u1eafn. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb n\u0103m 2024. \u0110\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i n\u00e0y ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 thay \u0111\u1ed5i \u0111\u00e1ng ch\u00fa \u00fd trong h\u00e0nh vi c\u1ee7a nh\u00f3m cung c\u00f3 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u0110\u00e1ng ch\u00fa \u00fd, c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t ng\u00e0y duy nh\u1ea5t ghi nh\u1eadn h\u01a1n 24.000 BTC t\u1eeb th\u1ee3 \u0111\u00e0o n\u1ea1p l\u00ean s\u00e0n. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t con s\u1ed1 c\u1ef1c hi\u1ebfm, cho th\u1ea5y nh\u1ecbp lu\u00e2n chuy\u1ec3n ngu\u1ed3n cung \u0111ang di\u1ec5n ra v\u1edbi c\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u1ed9 r\u1ea5t cao.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Tho_dao_ban_ra_Ap_luc_ngan_han_hay_tai_phan_phoi_tu_nhien\"><\/span><b>Th\u1ee3 \u0111\u00e0o b\u00e1n ra: \u00c1p l\u1ef1c ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n hay t\u00e1i ph\u00e2n ph\u1ed1i t\u1ef1 nhi\u00ean?<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Trong ph\u00e2n t\u00edch chu k\u1ef3 Bitcoin, d\u00f2ng BTC t\u1eeb th\u1ee3 \u0111\u00e0o l\u00ean s\u00e0n giao d\u1ecbch th\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c xem l\u00e0 t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u gia t\u0103ng ngu\u1ed3n cung ph\u00eda b\u00e1n (sell-side supply). Nguy\u00ean nh\u00e2n ph\u1ed5 bi\u1ebfn bao g\u1ed3m h\u1ecd ph\u1ea3i trang tr\u1ea3i chi ph\u00ed v\u1eadn h\u00e0nh, t\u00e1i c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng b\u1ea3ng c\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed1i, ho\u1eb7c hi\u1ec7n th\u1ef1c h\u00f3a l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn sau c\u00e1c giai \u0111o\u1ea1n bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh\u2026<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh th\u00e1ng 2, l\u00e0n s\u00f3ng n\u1ea1p BTC c\u1ee7a th\u1ee3 \u0111\u00e0o di\u1ec5n ra \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi v\u1edbi m\u00f4i tr\u01b0\u1eddng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng cao v\u00e0 kh\u1ea9u v\u1ecb r\u1ee7i ro suy gi\u1ea3m. \u0110\u00e1ng ch\u00fa \u00fd l\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 gia t\u0103ng \u00e1p l\u1ef1c b\u00e1n trong ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Tuy nhi\u00ean, l\u1ecbch s\u1eed cho th\u1ea5y c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ee3t b\u00e1n ra s\u1ed1 l\u01b0\u1ee3ng nhi\u1ec1u c\u1ee7a th\u1ee3 \u0111\u00e0o kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ed3ng ngh\u0129a v\u1edbi xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m k\u00e9o d\u00e0i. Tr\u00e1i l\u1ea1i, ch\u00fang th\u01b0\u1eddng xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n trong c\u00e1c pha \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh m\u1ea1nh, ho\u1eb7c giai \u0111o\u1ea1n \u0111i ngang &#8211; t\u00e1i ph\u00e2n ph\u1ed1i (redistribution).<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u1ede g\u00f3c nh\u00ecn d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n, vi\u1ec7c d\u1eef li\u1ec7u on-chain Bitcoin th\u1ee3 \u0111\u00e0o ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh c\u0169ng ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh m\u1ea1ng l\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111ang v\u1eadn h\u00e0nh hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3, s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u00e0 n\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n c\u1ee7a Bitcoin kh\u00f4ng b\u1ecb suy y\u1ebfu.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_34726\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-34726\" style=\"width: 1280px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-34726\" src=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/02-07-01-builink-bitcoin-miners.png\" alt=\"\u0110\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i c\u1ee7a th\u1ee3 \u0111\u00e0o Bitcoin\" width=\"1280\" height=\"720\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/02-07-01-builink-bitcoin-miners.png 1280w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/02-07-01-builink-bitcoin-miners-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/02-07-01-builink-bitcoin-miners-1024x576.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/02-07-01-builink-bitcoin-miners-150x84.png 150w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/02-07-01-builink-bitcoin-miners-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/02-07-01-builink-bitcoin-miners-450x253.png 450w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/02-07-01-builink-bitcoin-miners-1200x675.png 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1280px) 100vw, 1280px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-34726\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">\u0110\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i c\u1ee7a th\u1ee3 \u0111\u00e0o Bitcoin<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Bitcoin_giam_manh_kich_hoat_lan_song_hoang_loan_tu_nha_dau_tu_nho_le\"><\/span><b>Bitcoin gi\u1ea3m m\u1ea1nh k\u00edch ho\u1ea1t l\u00e0n s\u00f3ng ho\u1ea3ng lo\u1ea1n t\u1eeb nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 nh\u1ecf l\u1ebb<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">M\u1ed9t \u0111i\u1ec3m n\u1ed5i b\u1eadt kh\u00e1c trong nh\u1ecbp gi\u1ea3m v\u1eeba qua l\u00e0 s\u1ef1 quay tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 nh\u1ecf l\u1ebb (retail). Nh\u00f3m nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 n\u00e0y v\u1ed1n \u0111\u00e3 t\u1eebng kh\u00e1 im \u1eafng trong ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn chu k\u1ef3 n\u00e0y.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Trong ph\u00e2n t\u00edch on-chain Bitcoin, nh\u00f3m n\u00e0y th\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1ea1i di\u1ec7n b\u1edfi c\u00e1c v\u00ed n\u1eafm gi\u1eef d\u01b0\u1edbi 1 BTC, hay c\u00f2n g\u1ecdi l\u00e0 \u201cshrimps\u201d. Tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3, h\u1ecd g\u1ea7n nh\u01b0 \u0111\u1ee9ng ngo\u00e0i khi gi\u00e1 Bitcoin t\u0103ng, kh\u00e1c h\u1eb3n c\u00e1c chu k\u1ef3 c\u0169.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Tuy nhi\u00ean, \u0111\u1ee3t s\u1ee5t gi\u1ea3m m\u1ea1nh g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y \u0111\u00e3 thay \u0111\u1ed5i h\u00e0nh vi n\u00e0y. D\u00f2ng BTC t\u1eeb c\u00e1c v\u00ed nh\u1ecf n\u1ea1p l\u00ean Binance t\u0103ng \u0111\u1ed9t bi\u1ebfn, cho th\u1ea5y ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng mang t\u00ednh c\u1ea3m x\u00fac v\u00e0 ho\u1ea3ng lo\u1ea1n. C\u1ee5 th\u1ec3:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Ng\u00e0y 5\/2, inflow t\u1eeb nh\u00f3m shrimps v\u01b0\u1ee3t 1.000 BTC trong m\u1ed9t ng\u00e0y.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Trong khi trung b\u00ecnh th\u00e1ng ch\u1ec9 kho\u1ea3ng 365 BTC\/ng\u00e0y.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">M\u1ee9c t\u0103ng n\u00e0y ch\u1ec9 t\u1eebng xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n l\u1ea7n g\u1ea7n nh\u1ea5t v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 7\/2025, khi Bitcoin c\u00f2n \u0111ang ti\u1ebfn s\u00e1t c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ec9nh l\u1ecbch s\u1eed. Nh\u01b0ng \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00e1ng n\u00f3i \u1edf \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u01a1 l\u00fac \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 h\u01b0ng ph\u1ea5n, kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i s\u1ee3 h\u00e3i.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Sau c\u00fa <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/bitcoin-giam-60-000-strategy-lo-nang\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">gi\u1ea3m s\u00e2u xu\u1ed1ng d\u01b0\u1edbi 60.000 USD<\/a>, Bitcoin nhanh ch\u00f3ng h\u1ed3i ph\u1ee5c l\u00ean v\u00f9ng 71.000 USD, gi\u00fap d\u00f2ng b\u00e1n t\u1eeb retail h\u1ea1 nhi\u1ec7t, v\u00e0 inflow c\u1ee7a nh\u00f3m n\u00e0y d\u1ea7n quay v\u1ec1 m\u1ee9c trung b\u00ecnh. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y cho th\u1ea5y \u00e1p l\u1ef1c b\u00e1n mang t\u00ednh ho\u1ea3ng lo\u1ea1n \u0111\u00e3 ph\u1ea7n n\u00e0o \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c gi\u1ea3i t\u1ecfa.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_34727\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-34727\" style=\"width: 1280px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-34727\" src=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/02-07-02-builink-bitcoin-retails.png\" alt=\"\u0110\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i c\u1ee7a nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 nh\u1ecf l\u1ebb\" width=\"1280\" height=\"720\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/02-07-02-builink-bitcoin-retails.png 1280w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/02-07-02-builink-bitcoin-retails-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/02-07-02-builink-bitcoin-retails-1024x576.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/02-07-02-builink-bitcoin-retails-150x84.png 150w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/02-07-02-builink-bitcoin-retails-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/02-07-02-builink-bitcoin-retails-450x253.png 450w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/02-07-02-builink-bitcoin-retails-1200x675.png 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1280px) 100vw, 1280px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-34727\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">\u0110\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i c\u1ee7a nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 nh\u1ecf l\u1ebb<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Dong_BTC_lon_do_len_san_Dau_hieu_capitulation_dau_hang_ro_ret\"><\/span><b>D\u00f2ng BTC l\u1edbn \u0111\u1ed5 l\u00ean s\u00e0n: D\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u capitulation (\u0111\u1ea7u h\u00e0ng) r\u00f5 r\u1ec7t<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Giai \u0111o\u1ea1n t\u1eeb 4\/2 \u0111\u1ebfn 6\/2 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng: Bitcoin r\u01a1i l\u1ea1i d\u01b0\u1edbi m\u1ed1c 60.000 USD, l\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ea7u k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb th\u00e1ng 10\/2024; m\u1ee9c \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh v\u01b0\u1ee3t 50% so v\u1edbi \u0111\u1ec9nh g\u1ea7n nh\u1ea5t, k\u00edch ho\u1ea1t t\u00e2m l\u00fd s\u1ee3 h\u00e3i di\u1ec7n r\u1ed9ng.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Ch\u1ec9 ri\u00eang ng\u00e0y 6\/2, Short-Term Holders (STH &#8211; nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n) \u0111\u00e3 n\u1ea1p h\u01a1n 100.000 BTC (t\u00ednh theo t\u1ed5ng 7 ng\u00e0y) l\u00ean Binance &#8211; cao h\u01a1n c\u1ea3 nh\u1ecbp \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh th\u00e1ng 4\/2025.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">T\u1ed5ng c\u1ed9ng, g\u1ea7n 241.000 BTC \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c g\u1eedi l\u00ean c\u00e1c s\u00e0n trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n 4 &#8211; 6\/2. V\u1edbi quy m\u00f4 n\u00e0y, kh\u00f3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 di\u1ec5n gi\u1ea3i theo c\u00e1ch kh\u00e1c ngo\u00e0i \u201c\u00fd \u0111\u1ecbnh b\u00e1n chi\u1ebfm \u01b0u th\u1ebf tuy\u1ec7t \u0111\u1ed1i\u201d.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 retail, Coinbase Advanced &#8211; n\u01a1i t\u1eadp trung nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c v\u00e0 desk chuy\u00ean nghi\u1ec7p &#8211; c\u0169ng ghi nh\u1eadn ~27.000 BTC inflow trong ng\u00e0y 6\/2. \u0110\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i n\u00e0y cho th\u1ea5y t\u00e2m l\u00fd ho\u1ea3ng lo\u1ea1n lan sang c\u1ea3 nh\u00f3m nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 tinh vi h\u01a1n.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n \u0111\u1ea7u h\u00e0ng \u0111i\u1ec3n h\u00ecnh, khi b\u00e1n th\u00e1o di\u1ec5n ra tr\u00ean di\u1ec7n r\u1ed9ng, thanh l\u00fd v\u00e0 chuy\u1ec3n BTC l\u00ean s\u00e0n \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh, v\u00e0 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng r\u01a1i v\u00e0o tr\u1ea1ng th\u00e1i qu\u00e1 b\u00e1n (oversold) c\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ed9.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_34728\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-34728\" style=\"width: 1280px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-34728\" src=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/02-07-03-builink-bitcoin-sth.png\" alt=\"\u0110\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i c\u1ee7a Bitcoin STH\" width=\"1280\" height=\"720\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/02-07-03-builink-bitcoin-sth.png 1280w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/02-07-03-builink-bitcoin-sth-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/02-07-03-builink-bitcoin-sth-1024x576.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/02-07-03-builink-bitcoin-sth-150x84.png 150w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/02-07-03-builink-bitcoin-sth-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/02-07-03-builink-bitcoin-sth-450x253.png 450w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/02-07-03-builink-bitcoin-sth-1200x675.png 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1280px) 100vw, 1280px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-34728\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">\u0110\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i c\u1ee7a Bitcoin STH<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Mayer_Multiple_cham_06_Vung_qua_ban_hiem_gap_trong_lich_su_Bitcoin\"><\/span><b>Mayer Multiple ch\u1ea1m 0,6: V\u00f9ng qu\u00e1 b\u00e1n hi\u1ebfm g\u1eb7p trong l\u1ecbch s\u1eed Bitcoin<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">M\u1ed9t ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o on-chain Bitcoin quan tr\u1ecdng kh\u00e1c c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 cho lu\u1eadn \u0111i\u1ec3m capitulation l\u00e0 Mayer Multiple (H\u1ec7 s\u1ed1 Mayer). Mayer Multiple = Gi\u00e1 hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i\/\u0110\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng 200 ng\u00e0y (200D MA):<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Khi gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb = 1: Gi\u00e1 \u0111\u00fang xu h\u01b0\u1edbng d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Khi gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb &lt; 1: Gi\u00e1 chi\u1ebft kh\u1ea5u so v\u1edbi xu h\u01b0\u1edbng<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Khi gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb &lt; 0,8: Qu\u00e1 b\u00e1n.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Khi gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb &lt; 0,7: Tr\u1ea1ng th\u00e1i capitulation hi\u1ebfm g\u1eb7p.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i d\u1eef li\u1ec7u on-chain Mayer Multiple \u2248 0,6, t\u1ee9c gi\u00e1 Bitcoin th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n ~40% so v\u1edbi MA 200 ng\u00e0y. Trong l\u1ecbch s\u1eed, m\u1ee9c n\u00e0y ch\u1ec9 xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n \u1edf c\u00e1c \u0111\u00e1y l\u1edbn:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">12\/2018: \u0111\u00e1y 3.200 USD.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">03\/2020: c\u00fa s\u1eadp COVID.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">11\/2022: kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng FTX<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u1ede t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c l\u1ea7n tr\u01b0\u1edbc, t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn 12 th\u00e1ng sau \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u1ec1u r\u1ea5t l\u1edbn, d\u00f9 \u0111\u00e1y kh\u00f4ng h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh ngay l\u1eadp t\u1ee9c. Tuy nhi\u00ean, ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o on-chain Bitcoin n\u00e0y kh\u00f4ng d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m \u0111\u00e1y, v\u00e0 gi\u00e1 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 c\u00f2n overshoot xu\u1ed1ng th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng th\u01b0\u1eddng c\u1ea7n 2\u20138 tu\u1ea7n t\u00edch l\u0169y tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_34729\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-34729\" style=\"width: 1280px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-34729\" src=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/02-07-04-builink-bitcoin-mayer-multiple.png\" alt=\"Ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o on-chain Bitcoin Mayer Multiple\" width=\"1280\" height=\"720\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/02-07-04-builink-bitcoin-mayer-multiple.png 1280w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/02-07-04-builink-bitcoin-mayer-multiple-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/02-07-04-builink-bitcoin-mayer-multiple-1024x576.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/02-07-04-builink-bitcoin-mayer-multiple-150x84.png 150w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/02-07-04-builink-bitcoin-mayer-multiple-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/02-07-04-builink-bitcoin-mayer-multiple-450x253.png 450w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/02-07-04-builink-bitcoin-mayer-multiple-1200x675.png 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1280px) 100vw, 1280px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-34729\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o on-chain Bitcoin Mayer Multiple<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Ket_luan\"><\/span><b>K\u1ebft lu\u1eadn<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">T\u1ed5ng h\u1ee3p c\u00e1c d\u1eef li\u1ec7u on-chain Bitcoin \u0111\u00e3 mang \u0111\u1ebfn cho ta nhi\u1ec1u g\u00f3c nh\u00ecn kh\u00e1c nhau. Khi th\u1ee3 \u0111\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea9y m\u1ea1nh b\u00e1n ra &#8211; cung ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n t\u0103ng; khi c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 nh\u1ecf l\u1ebb v\u00e0 STH ho\u1ea3ng lo\u1ea1n cho th\u1ea5y tr\u1ea1ng th\u00e1i capitulation r\u00f5 r\u1ec7t; d\u00f2ng BTC l\u00ean s\u00e0n \u1edf m\u1ee9c c\u1ef1c \u0111oan v\u00e0 ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o Mayer Multiple ch\u1ea1m v\u00f9ng hi\u1ebfm g\u1eb7p trong l\u1ecbch s\u1eed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">C\u00f3 v\u1ebb nh\u01b0 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111ang \u1edf pha \u201cthanh l\u1ecdc &#8211; t\u00e1i ph\u00e2n ph\u1ed1i\u201d (capitulation &amp; digestion phase). Trong <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/phan-tich-du-lieu-on-chain-bitcoin-tuan-05-2026\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">ph\u00e2n t\u00edch on-chain Bitcoin tu\u1ea7n tr\u01b0\u1edbc<\/a>, d\u1eef li\u1ec7u c\u0169ng cho th\u1ea5y r\u1eb1ng Bitcoin \u0111ang \u1edf giai \u0111o\u1ea1n chuy\u1ec3n pha quan tr\u1ecdng c\u1ee7a chu k\u1ef3. Bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u0103ng cao, \u0111\u00f2n b\u1ea9y b\u1ecb x\u1ea3 c\u00f3 ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t, d\u00f2ng ti\u1ec1n l\u1edbn ph\u00e2n ph\u1ed1i d\u1ea7n v\u00e0 c\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac on-chain nghi\u00eang v\u1ec1 k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n bear s\u1edbm ho\u1eb7c \u0111\u1ea7u h\u00e0ng.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">R\u1ee7i ro ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n v\u1eabn t\u1ed3n t\u1ea1i, nh\u01b0ng x\u00e9t tr\u00ean x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t l\u1ecbch s\u1eed, t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 risk\/reward \u0111ang d\u1ea7n chuy\u1ec3n sang h\u01b0\u1edbng c\u00f3 l\u1ee3i h\u01a1n cho nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u1ee3 \u0111\u00e0o Bitcoin t\u0103ng v\u1ecdt: H\u01a1n 90.000 BTC \u0111\u1ed5 v\u00e0o Binance t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ea7u th\u00e1ng 2 D\u1eef li\u1ec7u on-chain Bitcoin (BTC) cho th\u1ea5y ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a th\u1ee3 \u0111\u00e0o (miners) \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ea7u th\u00e1ng 2. C\u00f3 h\u01a1n 90.000 BTC \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c chuy\u1ec3n l\u00ean s\u00e0n giao d\u1ecbch Binance ch\u1ec9 trong th\u1eddi gian ng\u1eafn. \u0110\u00e2y<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":23,"featured_media":34730,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[21849],"tags":[221,3102,8097],"class_list":{"0":"post-34725","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-phan-tich-nhan-dinh","8":"tag-bitcoin","9":"tag-btc","10":"tag-on-chain"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v25.0 (Yoast SEO v26.6) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch d\u1eef li\u1ec7u on-chain Bitcoin tu\u1ea7n 06\/2026 - Fiahub<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"T\u1ed5ng h\u1ee3p c\u00e1c d\u1eef li\u1ec7u on-chain Bitcoin cho th\u1ea5y th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111ang \u1edf pha \u201cthanh l\u1ecdc - t\u00e1i ph\u00e2n ph\u1ed1i\u201d (capitulation &amp; 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