{"id":34470,"date":"2026-01-05T09:00:42","date_gmt":"2026-01-05T02:00:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/?p=34470"},"modified":"2026-01-05T00:45:47","modified_gmt":"2026-01-04T17:45:47","slug":"phan-tich-du-lieu-on-chain-bitcoin-tuan-01-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/phan-tich-du-lieu-on-chain-bitcoin-tuan-01-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch d\u1eef li\u1ec7u on-chain Bitcoin tu\u1ea7n 01\/2026: C\u00e1 voi b\u00e1n ra, t\u00edch l\u0169y suy y\u1ebfu: R\u1ee7i ro n\u00e0o \u0111ang ch\u1edd Bitcoin?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">D\u1eef li\u1ec7u c\u1eadp nh\u1eadt t\u1eeb ng\u00e0y 29\/12 &#8211; 04\/01.<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Nh\u01b0 Fiahub \u0111\u00e3 chia s\u1ebb trong b\u00e0i ph\u00e2n t\u00edch tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/bitcoin-la-gi-tong-quan-ve-dong-tien-dien-tu-dau-tien\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Bitcoin<\/a> (BTC) ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/bitcoin-buoc-vao-vung-rui-ro-thap-hiem-gap\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">dao \u0111\u1ed9ng trong bi\u00ean \u0111\u1ed9 h\u1eb9p<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> khi b\u01b0\u1edbc sang n\u0103m m\u1edbi, v\u1edbi gi\u00e1 duy tr\u00ec trong v\u00f9ng 85.000 \u2013 90.000 USD. Tuy nhi\u00ean, trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh tr\u1ea1ng th\u00e1i gi\u1eb1ng co k\u00e9o d\u00e0i, m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o quan tr\u1ecdng \u0111ang ph\u00e1t \u0111i t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u cho th\u1ea5y kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n nh\u1ecbp h\u1ed3i ph\u1ee5c trong th\u1eddi gian t\u1edbi, khi Bitcoin ti\u1ebfn g\u1ea7n c\u00e1c v\u00f9ng k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 mang t\u00ednh l\u1ecbch s\u1eed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">M\u1edbi \u0111\u00e2y nh\u1ea5t, sau <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/gia-bitcoin-cham-91-000-cang-thang-my-venezuela\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb gi\u1eefa M\u1ef9 &#8211; Venezuela<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">, \u0111\u00e0 b\u1ee9t ph\u00e1 c\u1ee7a Bitcoin l\u00ean v\u00f9ng \u0111\u1ec9nh m\u1edbi c\u1ee7a n\u0103m 2026 t\u1ea1m th\u1eddi b\u1ecb ch\u1eb7n l\u1ea1i khi gi\u00e1 BTC ti\u1ebfn s\u00e1t m\u1ed1c 91.000 USD. D\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u on-chain Bitcoin \u0111\u00e1ng ch\u00fa \u00fd trong tu\u1ea7n qua.<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Xem th\u00eam<\/strong>: <a class=\"row-title\" href=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/phan-tich-du-lieu-on-chain-bitcoin-tuan-52-2025\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" aria-label=\"\u201cPh\u00e2n t\u00edch d\u1eef li\u1ec7u on-chain Bitcoin tu\u1ea7n 52\/2025: Bitcoin t\u1ea1i ng\u00e3 r\u1ebd 85.000 USD, d\u1eef li\u1ec7u \u0111ang nghi\u00eang v\u1ec1 k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n r\u1ee7i ro\u201d (Edit)\">Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch d\u1eef li\u1ec7u on-chain Bitcoin tu\u1ea7n 52\/2025: Bitcoin t\u1ea1i ng\u00e3 r\u1ebd 85.000 USD, d\u1eef li\u1ec7u \u0111ang nghi\u00eang v\u1ec1 k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n r\u1ee7i ro<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_79_2 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\"><p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">N\u1ed9i dung b\u00e0i vi\u1ebft<\/p>\n<\/div><nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 ' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/phan-tich-du-lieu-on-chain-bitcoin-tuan-01-2026\/#Tin_hieu_canh_bao_cho_Bitcoin_Ca_voi_nap_BTC_len_san_trong_khi_tich_luy_dinh_tre\" >T\u00edn hi\u1ec7u c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o cho Bitcoin: C\u00e1 voi n\u1ea1p BTC l\u00ean s\u00e0n trong khi t\u00edch l\u0169y \u0111\u00ecnh tr\u1ec7<\/a><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-3' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/phan-tich-du-lieu-on-chain-bitcoin-tuan-01-2026\/#Ca_voi_gia_tang_nap_BTC_len_san_Ap_luc_cung_tiem_an\" >C\u00e1 voi gia t\u0103ng n\u1ea1p BTC l\u00ean s\u00e0n: \u00c1p l\u1ef1c cung ti\u1ec1m \u1ea9n<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/phan-tich-du-lieu-on-chain-bitcoin-tuan-01-2026\/#Dong_rut_BTC_suy_yeu_Tich_luy_lon_gan_nhu_bien_mat\" >D\u00f2ng r\u00fat BTC suy y\u1ebfu: T\u00edch l\u0169y l\u1edbn g\u1ea7n nh\u01b0 bi\u1ebfn m\u1ea5t<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/phan-tich-du-lieu-on-chain-bitcoin-tuan-01-2026\/#CVD_Bitcoin_van_duy_tri_duong_Ap_luc_ban_chua_du_%E2%80%9Cniem_tin%E2%80%9D\" >CVD Bitcoin v\u1eabn duy tr\u00ec d\u01b0\u01a1ng: \u00c1p l\u1ef1c b\u00e1n ch\u01b0a \u0111\u1ee7 \u201cni\u1ec1m tin\u201d<\/a><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-3' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-5\" href=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/phan-tich-du-lieu-on-chain-bitcoin-tuan-01-2026\/#CVD_dang_phan_anh_dieu_gi\" >CVD \u0111ang ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh \u0111i\u1ec1u g\u00ec?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-6\" href=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/phan-tich-du-lieu-on-chain-bitcoin-tuan-01-2026\/#Diem_dang_chu_y_Gia_giam_nhung_CVD_khong_am\" >\u0110i\u1ec3m \u0111\u00e1ng ch\u00fa \u00fd: Gi\u00e1 gi\u1ea3m nh\u01b0ng CVD kh\u00f4ng \u00e2m<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-7\" href=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/phan-tich-du-lieu-on-chain-bitcoin-tuan-01-2026\/#Muc_thua_lo_chua_thuc_hien_cua_STH_phat_tin_hieu_Day_dieu_chinh_co_the_dang_hinh_thanh\" >M\u1ee9c thua l\u1ed7 ch\u01b0a th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n c\u1ee7a STH ph\u00e1t t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u: \u0110\u00e1y \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111ang h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-8\" href=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/phan-tich-du-lieu-on-chain-bitcoin-tuan-01-2026\/#Chi_so_BSI_phan_anh_trang_thai_tong_hop_cua_thi_truong\" >Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 BSI ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh tr\u1ea1ng th\u00e1i t\u1ed5ng h\u1ee3p c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-9\" href=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/phan-tich-du-lieu-on-chain-bitcoin-tuan-01-2026\/#Chu_ky_Bitcoin_Dang_buoc_vao_giai_doan_chuyen_tiep_huong_toi_thi_truong_gau\" >Chu k\u1ef3 Bitcoin: \u0110ang b\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0o giai \u0111o\u1ea1n chuy\u1ec3n ti\u1ebfp h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u1edbi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng g\u1ea5u?<\/a><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-3' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-10\" href=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/phan-tich-du-lieu-on-chain-bitcoin-tuan-01-2026\/#Tin_hieu_hien_tai_noi_len_dieu_gi\" >T\u00edn hi\u1ec7u hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i n\u00f3i l\u00ean \u0111i\u1ec1u g\u00ec?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-11\" href=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/phan-tich-du-lieu-on-chain-bitcoin-tuan-01-2026\/#Thoi_gian_trong_vung_chuyen_tiep_quan_trong_hon_muc_do_giam\" >Th\u1eddi gian trong v\u00f9ng chuy\u1ec3n ti\u1ebfp quan tr\u1ecdng h\u01a1n m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 gi\u1ea3m<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-12\" href=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/phan-tich-du-lieu-on-chain-bitcoin-tuan-01-2026\/#Ket_luan\" >K\u1ebft lu\u1eadn<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Tin_hieu_canh_bao_cho_Bitcoin_Ca_voi_nap_BTC_len_san_trong_khi_tich_luy_dinh_tre\"><\/span><b>T\u00edn hi\u1ec7u c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o cho Bitcoin: C\u00e1 voi n\u1ea1p BTC l\u00ean s\u00e0n trong khi t\u00edch l\u0169y \u0111\u00ecnh tr\u1ec7<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch so s\u00e1nh gi\u1eefa <\/span><b>Exchange Inflow Mean<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> v\u00e0 <\/span><b>Exchange Outflow Mean<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> c\u1ee7a Bitcoin tr\u00ean s\u00e0n Binance k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb th\u00e1ng 10 cho th\u1ea5y m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 ph\u00e2n k\u1ef3 \u0111\u00e1ng lo ng\u1ea1i, mang h\u00e0m \u00fd ti\u00eau c\u1ef1c v\u00e0 c\u1ea7n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c theo d\u00f5i s\u00e1t sao.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Ca_voi_gia_tang_nap_BTC_len_san_Ap_luc_cung_tiem_an\"><\/span><b>C\u00e1 voi gia t\u0103ng n\u1ea1p BTC l\u00ean s\u00e0n: \u00c1p l\u1ef1c cung ti\u1ec1m \u1ea9n<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u1ede chi\u1ec1u th\u1ee9 nh\u1ea5t, ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 on-chain <\/span><b>Exchange Inflow Mean<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">, ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh quy m\u00f4 trung b\u00ecnh c\u1ee7a m\u1ed7i giao d\u1ecbch n\u1ea1p BTC v\u00e0o s\u00e0n, \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng v\u1ecdt m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch r\u00f5 r\u1ec7t. C\u1ee5 th\u1ec3, ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 nh\u1ea3y t\u1eeb v\u00f9ng kho\u1ea3ng 8-10 BTC l\u00ean m\u1ee9c cao h\u01a1n nhi\u1ec1u, dao \u0111\u1ed9ng trong kho\u1ea3ng 22-26 BTC.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">S\u1ef1 gia t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd n\u00e0y cho th\u1ea5y c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 l\u1edbn, hay c\u00f2n g\u1ecdi l\u00e0 \u201cc\u00e1 voi\u201d, \u0111ang chuy\u1ec3n nh\u1eefng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng l\u1edbn Bitcoin l\u00ean s\u00e0n giao d\u1ecbch. Trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i, h\u00e0nh vi n\u00e0y th\u01b0\u1eddng mang h\u00e0m \u00fd chu\u1ea9n b\u1ecb cung c\u1ea5p thanh kho\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ec3 b\u00e1n, qua \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0m gia t\u0103ng \u00e1p l\u1ef1c ngu\u1ed3n cung ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng l\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_34472\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-34472\" style=\"width: 1280px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-34472\" src=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/01-04-02-builink-bitcoin-exchanges-inflow.png\" alt=\"Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 on-chain Exchange Inflow Mean\" width=\"1280\" height=\"720\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/01-04-02-builink-bitcoin-exchanges-inflow.png 1280w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/01-04-02-builink-bitcoin-exchanges-inflow-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/01-04-02-builink-bitcoin-exchanges-inflow-1024x576.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/01-04-02-builink-bitcoin-exchanges-inflow-150x84.png 150w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/01-04-02-builink-bitcoin-exchanges-inflow-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/01-04-02-builink-bitcoin-exchanges-inflow-450x253.png 450w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/01-04-02-builink-bitcoin-exchanges-inflow-1200x675.png 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1280px) 100vw, 1280px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-34472\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 on-chain Exchange Inflow Mean<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Dong_rut_BTC_suy_yeu_Tich_luy_lon_gan_nhu_bien_mat\"><\/span><b>D\u00f2ng r\u00fat BTC suy y\u1ebfu: T\u00edch l\u0169y l\u1edbn g\u1ea7n nh\u01b0 bi\u1ebfn m\u1ea5t<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n, ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 <\/span><b>Exchange Outflow Mean<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">, \u0111\u1ea1i di\u1ec7n cho quy m\u00f4 trung b\u00ecnh c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c giao d\u1ecbch r\u00fat BTC kh\u1ecfi s\u00e0n, l\u1ea1i cho th\u1ea5y m\u1ed9t b\u1ee9c tranh k\u00e9m t\u00edch c\u1ef1c. Sau khi gi\u1ea3m t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c 11 h\u1ed3i th\u00e1ng 10 xu\u1ed1ng \u0111\u00e1y quanh 2, ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 n\u00e0y hi\u1ec7n ch\u1ec9 dao \u0111\u1ed9ng trong v\u00f9ng th\u1ea5p <\/span><b>5,5-8,3<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh s\u1ef1 s\u1ee5t gi\u1ea3m m\u1ea1nh trong c\u00e1c giao d\u1ecbch r\u00fat BTC quy m\u00f4 l\u1edbn. N\u00f3 \u0111\u1ed3ng ngh\u0129a v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u00edch l\u0169y v\u00e0 chuy\u1ec3n BTC v\u1ec1 v\u00ed l\u1ea1nh c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 l\u1edbn \u0111ang suy y\u1ebfu r\u00f5 r\u1ec7t. N\u00f3i c\u00e1ch kh\u00e1c, nh\u00f3m n\u1eafm gi\u1eef d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n t\u00edch c\u1ef1c gom h\u00e0ng nh\u01b0 tr\u01b0\u1edbc.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_34471\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-34471\" style=\"width: 1280px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-34471\" src=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/01-04-01-builink-bitcoin-exchanges-outflow.png\" alt=\"Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 on-chain Exchange Outflow Mean\" width=\"1280\" height=\"720\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/01-04-01-builink-bitcoin-exchanges-outflow.png 1280w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/01-04-01-builink-bitcoin-exchanges-outflow-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/01-04-01-builink-bitcoin-exchanges-outflow-1024x576.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/01-04-01-builink-bitcoin-exchanges-outflow-150x84.png 150w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/01-04-01-builink-bitcoin-exchanges-outflow-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/01-04-01-builink-bitcoin-exchanges-outflow-450x253.png 450w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/01-04-01-builink-bitcoin-exchanges-outflow-1200x675.png 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1280px) 100vw, 1280px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-34471\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 on-chain Exchange Outflow Mean<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">S\u1ef1 ph\u00e2n k\u1ef3 gi\u1eefa hai ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 n\u00e0y l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng cho th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng Bitcoin. Trong khi quy m\u00f4 n\u1ea1p BTC l\u00ean s\u00e0n (\u0111\u1ea1i di\u1ec7n cho ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng b\u00e1n) t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh, th\u00ec quy m\u00f4 r\u00fat BTC (\u0111\u1ea1i di\u1ec7n cho h\u00e0nh vi t\u00edch l\u0169y) v\u1eabn b\u1ecb k\u00ecm h\u00e3m \u1edf m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u0110\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c n\u00e0y cho th\u1ea5y <\/span><b>\u00e1p l\u1ef1c b\u00e1n \u0111ang gia t\u0103ng<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">, trong khi kh\u1ea9u v\u1ecb n\u1eafm gi\u1eef d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c \u201ctay ch\u01a1i l\u1edbn\u201d \u0111ang suy gi\u1ea3m. Trong ng\u1eafn v\u00e0 trung h\u1ea1n, \u0111\u00e2y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh l\u1ef1c c\u1ea3n \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 c\u1ee7a Bitcoin.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"CVD_Bitcoin_van_duy_tri_duong_Ap_luc_ban_chua_du_%E2%80%9Cniem_tin%E2%80%9D\"><\/span><b>CVD Bitcoin v\u1eabn duy tr\u00ec d\u01b0\u01a1ng: \u00c1p l\u1ef1c b\u00e1n ch\u01b0a \u0111\u1ee7 \u201cni\u1ec1m tin\u201d<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">D\u1eef li\u1ec7u t\u1eeb Binance cho th\u1ea5y <\/span><b>CVD Confirmation Score<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> c\u1ee7a Bitcoin tr\u00ean khung th\u1eddi gian 30 ng\u00e0y hi\u1ec7n \u0111ang dao \u0111\u1ed9ng quanh m\u1ee9c <\/span><b>0,48<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb d\u01b0\u01a1ng, nh\u01b0ng ch\u01b0a \u0111\u1ee7 m\u1ea1nh \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c xem l\u00e0 t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng. N\u00f3i c\u00e1ch kh\u00e1c, d\u00f2ng l\u1ec7nh mua v\u1eabn \u0111ang h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 gi\u00e1, nh\u01b0ng l\u1ef1c n\u00e0y ch\u01b0a mang t\u00ednh \u00e1p \u0111\u1ea3o.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_34473\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-34473\" style=\"width: 1280px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-34473\" src=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/01-04-03-builink-bitcoin-cvd.png\" alt=\"Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 CVD Confirmation Score\" width=\"1280\" height=\"720\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/01-04-03-builink-bitcoin-cvd.png 1280w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/01-04-03-builink-bitcoin-cvd-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/01-04-03-builink-bitcoin-cvd-1024x576.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/01-04-03-builink-bitcoin-cvd-150x84.png 150w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/01-04-03-builink-bitcoin-cvd-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/01-04-03-builink-bitcoin-cvd-450x253.png 450w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/01-04-03-builink-bitcoin-cvd-1200x675.png 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1280px) 100vw, 1280px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-34473\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 CVD Confirmation Score<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"CVD_dang_phan_anh_dieu_gi\"><\/span><b>CVD \u0111ang ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh \u0111i\u1ec1u g\u00ec?<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Trong ph\u00e2n t\u00edch, <\/span><b>Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD)<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> d\u01b0\u01a1ng cho th\u1ea5y kh\u1ed1i l\u01b0\u1ee3ng l\u1ec7nh mua ch\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ed9ng v\u01b0\u1ee3t tr\u1ed9i so v\u1edbi l\u1ec7nh b\u00e1n. N\u00f3 th\u01b0\u1eddng g\u1eafn li\u1ec1n v\u1edbi h\u00e0nh vi t\u00edch l\u0169y c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch l\u1edbn ho\u1eb7c t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c. Tuy nhi\u00ean, khi CVD ch\u1ec9 \u1edf m\u1ee9c trung b\u00ecnh nh\u01b0 hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i, \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh tr\u1ea1ng th\u00e1i <\/span><b>c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i gi\u1eefa cung v\u00e0 c\u1ea7u<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">. Ngh\u0129a l\u00e0 phe mua v\u1eabn hi\u1ec7n di\u1ec7n, nh\u01b0ng phe b\u00e1n \u0111\u1ee7 m\u1ea1nh \u0111\u1ec3 ng\u0103n th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 r\u00f5 r\u1ec7t.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Diem_dang_chu_y_Gia_giam_nhung_CVD_khong_am\"><\/span><b>\u0110i\u1ec3m \u0111\u00e1ng ch\u00fa \u00fd: Gi\u00e1 gi\u1ea3m nh\u01b0ng CVD kh\u00f4ng \u00e2m<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u0110i\u1ec3m t\u00edch c\u1ef1c trong b\u1ee9c tranh hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i l\u00e0 <\/span><b>CVD ch\u01b0a chuy\u1ec3n sang v\u00f9ng \u00e2m<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">, d\u00f9 Bitcoin \u0111\u00e3 tr\u1ea3i qua m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 nh\u1ecbp \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh gi\u00e1 trong th\u1eddi gian qua. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y cho th\u1ea5y \u00e1p l\u1ef1c b\u00e1n th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 ch\u01b0a mang t\u00ednh quy\u1ebft li\u1ec7t, ho\u1eb7c m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng gi\u1ea3m ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh t\u1ef1 nhi\u00ean c\u1ee7a gi\u00e1, thay v\u00ec ph\u00e2n ph\u1ed1i m\u1ea1nh.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Trong l\u1ecbch s\u1eed, nh\u1eefng pha gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 \u0111i k\u00e8m v\u1edbi <\/span><b>CVD \u00e2m s\u00e2u<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> th\u01b0\u1eddng k\u00e9o d\u00e0i v\u00e0 c\u00f3 bi\u00ean \u0111\u1ed9 l\u1edbn h\u01a1n, do ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng b\u00e1n ch\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ed9ng v\u00e0 m\u1ea5t c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng nghi\u00eam tr\u1ecdng gi\u1eefa cung &#8211; c\u1ea7u. Vi\u1ec7c CVD v\u1eabn gi\u1eef \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u00f9ng d\u01b0\u01a1ng ph\u1ea7n n\u00e0o cho th\u1ea5y <\/span><b>c<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u1ea5u tr\u00fac th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u01b0a b\u1ecb ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u1ede th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i, tr\u1ea1ng th\u00e1i c\u1ee7a CVD c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c xem l\u00e0 <\/span><b>trung l\u1eadp nghi\u00eang t\u00edch c\u1ef1c<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">. Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u01b0a ph\u00e1t \u0111i t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u \u0111\u1ee7 m\u1ea1nh \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn s\u1ef1 kh\u1edfi \u0111\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng m\u1edbi, nh\u01b0ng \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi c\u0169ng kh\u00f4ng cho th\u1ea5y d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u ho\u1ea3ng lo\u1ea1n hay b\u00e1n th\u00e1o di\u1ec7n r\u1ed9ng.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Muc_thua_lo_chua_thuc_hien_cua_STH_phat_tin_hieu_Day_dieu_chinh_co_the_dang_hinh_thanh\"><\/span><b>M\u1ee9c thua l\u1ed7 ch\u01b0a th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n c\u1ee7a STH ph\u00e1t t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u: \u0110\u00e1y \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111ang h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Trong khi Bitcoin ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c \u0111i ngang trong v\u00f9ng 85.000 &#8211; 92.000 USD, nh\u00f3m <\/span><b>Short-Term Holders (STH)<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> v\u1eabn \u0111ang ch\u1ecbu \u00e1p l\u1ef1c \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Sau khi \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh chi ph\u00ed v\u1ed1n c\u1ee7a STH \u0111\u1ec3 lo\u1ea1i tr\u1eeb t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u1eeb l\u01b0\u1ee3ng BTC lu\u00e2n chuy\u1ec3n qua Coinbase, gi\u00e1 v\u1ed1n \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh c\u1ee7a STH hi\u1ec7n quanh 103.000 USD. V\u1edbi m\u1ee9c gi\u00e1 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng kho\u1ea3ng 91.000 USD, nh\u00f3m nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n n\u00e0y \u0111ang ghi nh\u1eadn kho\u1ea3ng 15% thua l\u1ed7 ch\u01b0a th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">C\u00e1ch t\u00ednh n\u00e0y d\u1ef1a \u0111\u01a1n gi\u1ea3n tr\u00ean \u0111\u1ed9 l\u1ec7ch ph\u1ea7n tr\u0103m gi\u1eefa gi\u00e1 hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i v\u00e0 gi\u00e1 v\u1ed1n c\u1ee7a STH, nh\u01b0ng l\u1ea1i \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t h\u1eefu \u00edch trong vi\u1ec7c x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u00e1c giai \u0111o\u1ea1n c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng c\u1ee7a nh\u00f3m nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 nh\u1ea1y c\u1ea3m nh\u1ea5t th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng, nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi th\u01b0\u1eddng ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng nhanh v\u1edbi bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng gi\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Trong c\u00e1c chu k\u1ef3 tr\u01b0\u1edbc, khi t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 thua l\u1ed7 ch\u01b0a th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n c\u1ee7a STH v\u01b0\u1ee3t ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng ~15%, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng th\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u00e3 tr\u1ea3i qua m\u1ed9t nh\u1ecbp \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3. \u0110\u00e1ng ch\u00fa \u00fd, nh\u1eefng giai \u0111o\u1ea1n n\u00e0y <\/span><b>th\u01b0\u1eddng tr\u00f9ng v\u1edbi qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh \u0111\u00e1y \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">, khi \u00e1p l\u1ef1c b\u00e1n t\u1eeb nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n d\u1ea7n c\u1ea1n ki\u1ec7t.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y cho th\u1ea5y k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111ang l\u1eb7p l\u1ea1i trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t khi gi\u00e1 BTC ch\u01b0a xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n th\u00eam c\u00e1c t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u ph\u00e2n ph\u1ed1i m\u1ea1nh.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Tuy nhi\u00ean, t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u n\u00e0y <\/span><b>kh\u00f4ng mang t\u00ednh tuy\u1ec7t \u0111\u1ed1i<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">. N\u1ebfu Bitcoin b\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0o m\u1ed9t th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng g\u1ea5u s\u00e2u v\u00e0 k\u00e9o d\u00e0i, c\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o on-chain Bitcoin d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean h\u00e0nh vi STH nh\u01b0 v\u1eady c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 m\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y l\u00e0 do \u00e1p l\u1ef1c v\u0129 m\u00f4 v\u00e0 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n chi ph\u1ed1i ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n h\u00e0nh vi gi\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_34474\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-34474\" style=\"width: 1280px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-34474\" src=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/01-04-04-builink-bitcoin-sth.png\" alt=\"\u0110\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i c\u1ee7a Bitcoin STH\" width=\"1280\" height=\"720\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/01-04-04-builink-bitcoin-sth.png 1280w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/01-04-04-builink-bitcoin-sth-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/01-04-04-builink-bitcoin-sth-1024x576.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/01-04-04-builink-bitcoin-sth-150x84.png 150w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/01-04-04-builink-bitcoin-sth-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/01-04-04-builink-bitcoin-sth-450x253.png 450w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/01-04-04-builink-bitcoin-sth-1200x675.png 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1280px) 100vw, 1280px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-34474\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">\u0110\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i c\u1ee7a Bitcoin STH<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Chi_so_BSI_phan_anh_trang_thai_tong_hop_cua_thi_truong\"><\/span><b>Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 BSI ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh tr\u1ea1ng th\u00e1i t\u1ed5ng h\u1ee3p c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><b>Bitcoin Sentiment Index (BSI)<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o on-chain t\u1ed5ng h\u1ee3p, k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p ba y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 c\u1ed1t l\u00f5i g\u1ed3m NUPL, STH-SOPR v\u00e0 Kh\u1ed1i l\u01b0\u1ee3ng giao d\u1ecbch (Volume) nh\u1eb1m ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh t\u00e2m l\u00fd chung c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng Bitcoin.<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><b>NUPL (Net Unrealized Profit\/Loss)<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> cho bi\u1ebft nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 \u0111ang \u1edf tr\u1ea1ng th\u00e1i l\u00e3i hay l\u1ed7 ch\u01b0a th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n, qua \u0111\u00f3 ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh \u201cs\u1ee9c kh\u1ecfe c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac\u201d c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><b>STH-SOPR<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> t\u1eadp trung v\u00e0o h\u00e0nh vi c\u1ee7a nh\u00f3m n\u1eafm gi\u1eef ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n, cho th\u1ea5y h\u1ecd \u0111ang b\u00e1n ra trong tr\u1ea1ng th\u00e1i c\u00f3 l\u00e3i hay ch\u1ecbu l\u1ed7.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><b>Volume<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 nh\u01b0 \u201cnhi\u1ec7t k\u1ebf s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh\u201d, x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn li\u1ec7u c\u00e1c bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng gi\u00e1 c\u00f3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u1eadu thu\u1eabn b\u1edfi d\u00f2ng ti\u1ec1n th\u1ef1c hay ch\u1ec9 mang t\u00ednh mong manh.<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"><br \/>\n<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">T\u1ea1i th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m b\u00e0i vi\u1ebft, BSI ghi nh\u1eadn \u1edf m\u1ee9c 0,25, trong khi kh\u1ed1i l\u01b0\u1ee3ng giao d\u1ecbch \u0111\u1ea1t kho\u1ea3ng 37.000, cho ph\u00e9p \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi c\u1ea3 b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac l\u1eabn t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i v\u1edbi BSI quanh 0,25 nh\u01b0ng kh\u1ed1i l\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u00f2n th\u1ea5p, cho th\u1ea5y th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u00e3 r\u1eddi xa v\u00f9ng ho\u1ea3ng lo\u1ea1n, nh\u01b0ng v\u1eabn thi\u1ebfu d\u00f2ng ti\u1ec1n \u0111\u1ee7 m\u1ea1nh \u0111\u1ec3 chuy\u1ec3n sang pha t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 giai \u0111o\u1ea1n d\u1ec5 \u201c\u0111\u00e1nh l\u1eeba c\u1ea3m x\u00fac\u201d, n\u01a1i s\u1ef1 ki\u00ean nh\u1eabn v\u00e0 theo d\u00f5i s\u00e1t kh\u1ed1i l\u01b0\u1ee3ng v\u1eabn quan tr\u1ecdng h\u01a1n vi\u1ec7c d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_34475\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-34475\" style=\"width: 1280px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-34475\" src=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/01-04-05-builink-bitcoin-bsi.png\" alt=\"Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 BSI\" width=\"1280\" height=\"720\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/01-04-05-builink-bitcoin-bsi.png 1280w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/01-04-05-builink-bitcoin-bsi-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/01-04-05-builink-bitcoin-bsi-1024x576.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/01-04-05-builink-bitcoin-bsi-150x84.png 150w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/01-04-05-builink-bitcoin-bsi-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/01-04-05-builink-bitcoin-bsi-450x253.png 450w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/01-04-05-builink-bitcoin-bsi-1200x675.png 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1280px) 100vw, 1280px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-34475\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 BSI<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Chu_ky_Bitcoin_Dang_buoc_vao_giai_doan_chuyen_tiep_huong_toi_thi_truong_gau\"><\/span><b>Chu k\u1ef3 Bitcoin: \u0110ang b\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0o giai \u0111o\u1ea1n chuy\u1ec3n ti\u1ebfp h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u1edbi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng g\u1ea5u?<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><b>Supply in Profit (%)<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o on-chain \u0111o l\u01b0\u1eddng t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 ngu\u1ed3n cung Bitcoin hi\u1ec7n \u0111ang \u1edf tr\u1ea1ng th\u00e1i c\u00f3 l\u00e3i. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 th\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111o quan tr\u1ecdng \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh Bitcoin \u0111ang \u1edf \u0111\u00e2u trong chu k\u1ef3 l\u1edbn, c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 li\u1ec7u th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00f3 \u0111ang b\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0o giai \u0111o\u1ea1n chuy\u1ec3n ti\u1ebfp hay kh\u00f4ng.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Theo ph\u00e2n lo\u1ea1i chu k\u1ef3 ph\u1ed5 bi\u1ebfn:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><b>Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng b\u00f2 &#8211; giai \u0111o\u1ea1n h\u01b0ng ph\u1ea5n:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> &gt; 80%<\/span><\/li>\n<li><b>Giai \u0111o\u1ea1n chuy\u1ec3n ti\u1ebfp:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> 55% \u2013 80%<\/span><\/li>\n<li><b>Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng g\u1ea5u\/t\u1ea1o \u0111\u00e1y:<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> \u2264 55%<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<figure id=\"attachment_34476\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-34476\" style=\"width: 1280px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-34476\" src=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/01-04-06-builink-bitcoin-supply.png\" alt=\"Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 Bitcoin Supply in Profit\" width=\"1280\" height=\"530\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/01-04-06-builink-bitcoin-supply.png 1280w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/01-04-06-builink-bitcoin-supply-300x124.png 300w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/01-04-06-builink-bitcoin-supply-1024x424.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/01-04-06-builink-bitcoin-supply-150x62.png 150w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/01-04-06-builink-bitcoin-supply-768x318.png 768w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/01-04-06-builink-bitcoin-supply-450x186.png 450w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/01-04-06-builink-bitcoin-supply-1200x497.png 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1280px) 100vw, 1280px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-34476\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 Bitcoin Supply in Profit<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Tin_hieu_hien_tai_noi_len_dieu_gi\"><\/span><b>T\u00edn hi\u1ec7u hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i n\u00f3i l\u00ean \u0111i\u1ec1u g\u00ec?<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">T\u1ea1i th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i, Supply in Profit \u0111ang \u1edf m\u1ee9c 68,85%, n\u1eb1m v\u1eefng trong <\/span><b>v\u00f9ng chuy\u1ec3n ti\u1ebfp. <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">V\u00e0 quan tr\u1ecdng h\u01a1n, ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 b\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0o xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb th\u00e1ng 10\/2025.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u0110\u00e2y kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t nh\u1ecbp \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n, m\u00e0 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh suy gi\u1ea3m k\u00e9o d\u00e0i nhi\u1ec1u th\u00e1ng. N\u00f3 ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh s\u1ef1 m\u1ec7t m\u1ecfi t\u00edch l\u0169y c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng, \u0111\u1eb7c \u0111i\u1ec3m th\u01b0\u1eddng xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n \u1edf giai \u0111o\u1ea1n mu\u1ed9n c\u1ee7a chu k\u1ef3 t\u0103ng.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Song song v\u1edbi \u0111\u00f3, c\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 n\u1ed9i t\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111ang y\u1ebfu d\u1ea7n, trong khi b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh v\u0129 m\u00f4 nh\u01b0 r\u1ee7i ro \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb k\u00e9o d\u00e0i v\u00e0 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u00ecm \u0111\u1ebfn t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n tr\u00fa \u1ea9n an to\u00e0n ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c t\u1ea1o l\u1ef1c c\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi c\u00e1c t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n r\u1ee7i ro nh\u01b0 Bitcoin.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Thoi_gian_trong_vung_chuyen_tiep_quan_trong_hon_muc_do_giam\"><\/span><b>Th\u1eddi gian trong v\u00f9ng chuy\u1ec3n ti\u1ebfp quan tr\u1ecdng h\u01a1n m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 gi\u1ea3m<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u0110i\u1ec3m m\u1ea5u ch\u1ed1t kh\u00f4ng n\u1eb1m \u1edf vi\u1ec7c Supply in Profit \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1ea3m xu\u1ed1ng d\u01b0\u1edbi 80%, m\u00e0 n\u1eb1m \u1edf th\u1eddi gian ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o n\u00e0y duy tr\u00ec trong v\u00f9ng 55%-80%.<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">N\u1ebfu gi\u00e1 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c \u0111i ngang, trong khi Supply in Profit \u201cm\u1eafc k\u1eb9t\u201d quanh v\u00f9ng ~70%, c\u00e1c chu k\u1ef3 l\u1ecbch s\u1eed cho th\u1ea5y x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t chuy\u1ec3n sang th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng g\u1ea5u quy m\u00f4 l\u1edbn s\u1ebd ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng t\u0103ng.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, n\u1ebfu ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u sang xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng v\u00e0 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i tr\u00ean v\u00f9ng 75%-80%, k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n k\u00e9o d\u00e0i chu k\u1ef3 t\u0103ng v\u1eabn c\u00f2n c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c b\u1ea3o l\u01b0u.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Ket_luan\"><\/span><b>K\u1ebft lu\u1eadn<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">T\u1ed5ng h\u1ee3p c\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o on-chain cho th\u1ea5y Bitcoin \u0111ang \u1edf tr\u1ea1ng th\u00e1i gi\u1eb1ng co nguy hi\u1ec3m. \u00c1p l\u1ef1c b\u00e1n t\u1eeb c\u00e1 voi gia t\u0103ng, t\u00edch l\u0169y l\u1edbn suy y\u1ebfu, nh\u01b0ng l\u1ef1c b\u00e1n v\u1eabn ch\u01b0a \u0111\u1ee7 quy\u1ebft li\u1ec7t \u0111\u1ec3 ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng. \u0110\u00e2y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0 v\u00f9ng chuy\u1ec3n ti\u1ebfp nh\u1ea1y c\u1ea3m c\u1ee7a chu k\u1ef3 khi BTC c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh \u0111\u00e1y \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Nh\u01b0ng n\u1ebfu d\u00f2ng ti\u1ec1n v\u00e0 t\u00edch l\u0169y kh\u00f4ng s\u1edbm quay l\u1ea1i, r\u1ee7i ro tr\u01b0\u1ee3t d\u1ea7n sang pha th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng g\u1ea5u s\u1ebd ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng. Trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n n\u00e0y, ki\u00ean nh\u1eabn v\u00e0 qu\u1ea3n tr\u1ecb r\u1ee7i ro quan tr\u1ecdng h\u01a1n vi\u1ec7c k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng m\u1ed9t c\u00fa b\u1ee9t ph\u00e1 s\u1edbm.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>D\u1eef li\u1ec7u c\u1eadp nh\u1eadt t\u1eeb ng\u00e0y 29\/12 &#8211; 04\/01. Nh\u01b0 Fiahub \u0111\u00e3 chia s\u1ebb trong b\u00e0i ph\u00e2n t\u00edch tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3, Bitcoin (BTC) ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c dao \u0111\u1ed9ng trong bi\u00ean \u0111\u1ed9 h\u1eb9p khi b\u01b0\u1edbc sang n\u0103m m\u1edbi, v\u1edbi gi\u00e1 duy tr\u00ec trong v\u00f9ng 85.000 \u2013 90.000 USD. Tuy nhi\u00ean, trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh tr\u1ea1ng th\u00e1i gi\u1eb1ng co k\u00e9o<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":23,"featured_media":34477,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[21849],"tags":[221,3102,8097],"class_list":{"0":"post-34470","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-phan-tich-nhan-dinh","8":"tag-bitcoin","9":"tag-btc","10":"tag-on-chain"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v25.0 (Yoast SEO v26.6) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch d\u1eef li\u1ec7u on-chain Bitcoin tu\u1ea7n 01\/2026 - Fiahub<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"T\u1ed5ng h\u1ee3p c\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o on-chain cho th\u1ea5y Bitcoin \u0111ang \u1edf tr\u1ea1ng th\u00e1i gi\u1eb1ng co nguy hi\u1ec3m. \u00c1p l\u1ef1c b\u00e1n t\u1eeb 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