{"id":20480,"date":"2023-01-31T08:00:01","date_gmt":"2023-01-31T01:00:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/?p=20480"},"modified":"2025-05-14T20:58:55","modified_gmt":"2025-05-14T13:58:55","slug":"phan-tich-du-lieu-on-chain-tuan-5-2023","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/phan-tich-du-lieu-on-chain-tuan-5-2023\/","title":{"rendered":"Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch d\u1eef li\u1ec7u on-chain tu\u1ea7n 5\/2023: Ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o NUPL tu\u1ea7n qua tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i khu v\u1ef1c hi v\u1ecdng, b\u00e1o hi\u1ec7u b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u0103ng gi\u00e1"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">D\u1eef li\u1ec7u c\u1eadp nh\u1eadt t\u1eeb ng\u00e0y 23\/1 &#8211; 29\/1.<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><strong>Xem th\u00eam<\/strong>: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/phan-tich-du-lieu-on-chain-tuan-4-2023\/\">Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch d\u1eef li\u1ec7u on-chain tu\u1ea7n 4\/2023: Ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o on-chain Bitcoin MVRV-Z v\u00e0 BTC realized price cho th\u1ea5y \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111\u00e1y<\/a><\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Trong b\u00e0i ph\u00e2n t\u00edch ng\u00e0y h\u00f4m nay, Fiahub s\u1ebd xem x\u00e9t m\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o on-chain <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/bitcoin-la-gi-tong-quan-ve-dong-tien-dien-tu-dau-tien\/\">Bitcoin<\/a> n\u1ed5i ti\u1ebfng l\u00e0 Net Unrealized Profit\/Loss (NUPL), c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec3u l\u00e0 L\u00e3i\/l\u1ed7 r\u00f2ng ch\u01b0a th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n. \u0110i\u1ec1u m\u00e0 Fiahub ch\u00fa \u00fd \u1edf \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng gi\u00e1 c\u00f3 ph\u1ea7n t\u00edch c\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a Bitcoin (BTC) trong nh\u1eefng tu\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean c\u1ee7a n\u0103m 2023 \u0111\u00e3 khi\u1ebfn ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o on-chain n\u00e0y t\u1ea1o t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u chu k\u1ef3 t\u0103ng gi\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">L\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb th\u00e1ng 8\/2022, \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng 14 ng\u00e0y c\u1ee7a NUPL chuy\u1ec3n sang d\u01b0\u01a1ng v\u00e0 \u0111i v\u00e0o l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5 m\u00e0u cam. Trong l\u1ecbch s\u1eed, \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i n\u00e0y t\u01b0\u01a1ng quan v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c k\u1ebft th\u00fac giai \u0111o\u1ea1n t\u00edch l\u0169y v\u00e0 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u m\u1ed9t th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng gi\u00e1 l\u00ean m\u1edbi. Ngo\u00e0i ra, d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean d\u1eef li\u1ec7u l\u1ecbch s\u1eed v\u1ec1 gi\u00e1 BTC ch\u00fang ta c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh th\u1eddi gian v\u00e0 c\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u1ed9 c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 ti\u1ebfp theo.<\/span><\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_83 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\"><p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">N\u1ed9i dung b\u00e0i vi\u1ebft<\/p>\n<\/div><nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 ' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/phan-tich-du-lieu-on-chain-tuan-5-2023\/#Chi_bao_on-chain_Bitcoin_NUPL\" >Ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o on-chain Bitcoin NUPL<\/a><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-3' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/phan-tich-du-lieu-on-chain-tuan-5-2023\/#NUPL_buoc_vao_khu_vuc_hy_vong\" >NUPL b\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0o khu v\u1ef1c hy v\u1ecdng<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/phan-tich-du-lieu-on-chain-tuan-5-2023\/#NUPL_bao_hieu_su_khoi_dau_cua_mot_thi_truong_tang_gia\" >NUPL b\u00e1o hi\u1ec7u s\u1ef1 kh\u1edfi \u0111\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u0103ng gi\u00e1<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/phan-tich-du-lieu-on-chain-tuan-5-2023\/#Loi_ket_Gia_Bitcoin_se_tang_cao_den_muc_nao\" >L\u1eddi k\u1ebft: Gi\u00e1 Bitcoin s\u1ebd t\u0103ng cao \u0111\u1ebfn m\u1ee9c n\u00e0o?<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Chi_bao_on-chain_Bitcoin_NUPL\"><\/span><b>Ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o on-chain Bitcoin NUPL<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"NUPL_buoc_vao_khu_vuc_hy_vong\"><\/span><b>NUPL b\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0o khu v\u1ef1c hy v\u1ecdng<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">L\u00e3i\/l\u1ed7 r\u00f2ng ch\u01b0a th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n s\u1ef1 kh\u00e1c bi\u1ec7t gi\u1eefa L\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn ch\u01b0a th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i (Relative Unrealized Profit) v\u00e0 L\u1ed7 ch\u01b0a th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i (Relative Unrealized Loss). M\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch kh\u00e1c \u0111\u1ec3 t\u00ednh to\u00e1n ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o n\u00e0y l\u00e0 tr\u1eeb t\u1ed5ng v\u1ed1n h\u00f3a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u00e3 th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n (Realized Market Capitalization) cho t\u1ed5ng v\u1ed1n h\u00f3a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng (Total Market Capitalization), sau \u0111\u00f3 chia k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 cho gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Trong th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3, \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng 14 ng\u00e0y NUPL \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ec9nh 0.73 v\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 02\/2\/2021, khi gi\u00e1 BTC l\u00e0 54,000 USD. Sau \u0111\u00f3, Bitcoin v\u1eabn ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c \u0111\u00e0 t\u0103ng nh\u01b0ng NUPL kh\u00f4ng t\u0103ng cao h\u01a1n n\u1eefa.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Ngay c\u1ea3 trong th\u1eddi gian gi\u00e1 BTC \u0111\u1ea1t ATH \u1edf m\u1ee9c 69,000 USD v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 11\/2021, ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 n\u00e0y v\u1eabn \u1edf m\u1ee9c g\u1ea7n 0\/.63. \u0110i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00e1ng n\u00f3i l\u00e0 trong to\u00e0n b\u1ed9 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3, n\u00f3 ch\u01b0a m\u1ed9t l\u1ea7n v\u01b0\u1ee3t qu\u00e1 gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb 0.75, tr\u00ean \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f3 v\u00f9ng m\u00e0u xanh lam c\u1ee7a euphoria\/greed. \u0110\u1ec9nh c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3, ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh ph\u00e2n ph\u1ed1i c\u1ee7a Wyckoff, ch\u1ec9 \u0111\u01b0a NUPL \u0111\u1ebfn m\u1ee9c belief\/denial m\u00e0u xanh.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_20483\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-20483\" style=\"width: 1600px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-20483\" src=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/01-32-01-bitcoin-net-unrealized-profit-loss-nupl-14d-moving-average.png\" alt=\"Ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o on-chain Bitcoin NUPL\" width=\"1600\" height=\"900\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/01-32-01-bitcoin-net-unrealized-profit-loss-nupl-14d-moving-average.png 1600w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/01-32-01-bitcoin-net-unrealized-profit-loss-nupl-14d-moving-average-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/01-32-01-bitcoin-net-unrealized-profit-loss-nupl-14d-moving-average-1024x576.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/01-32-01-bitcoin-net-unrealized-profit-loss-nupl-14d-moving-average-150x84.png 150w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/01-32-01-bitcoin-net-unrealized-profit-loss-nupl-14d-moving-average-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/01-32-01-bitcoin-net-unrealized-profit-loss-nupl-14d-moving-average-1536x864.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/01-32-01-bitcoin-net-unrealized-profit-loss-nupl-14d-moving-average-450x253.png 450w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/01-32-01-bitcoin-net-unrealized-profit-loss-nupl-14d-moving-average-1200x675.png 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1600px) 100vw, 1600px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-20483\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o on-chain Bitcoin NUPL<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Sau \u0111\u00f3, trong su\u1ed1t th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng g\u1ea5u n\u0103m 2022, ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o on-chain Bitcoin NUPL ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c gi\u1ea3m c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi gi\u00e1 Bitcoin. N\u00f3 ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn v\u00f9ng m\u00e0u \u0111\u1ecf l\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 6 v\u00e0 l\u1ea7n th\u1ee9 hai v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 8 (c\u00e1c v\u00f2ng tr\u00f2n m\u00e0u x\u00e1m).<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Sau l\u1ea7n suy gi\u1ea3m th\u1ee9 hai v\u00e0o v\u00f9ng ti\u00eau c\u1ef1c, n\u00f3 v\u1eabn gi\u1eef \u1edf m\u1ee9c \u00e2m trong 5 th\u00e1ng n\u1eefa. Trong kho\u1ea3ng th\u1eddi gian n\u00e0y, n\u00f3 c\u0169ng ghi nh\u1eadn m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ea7u h\u00e0ng th\u1ea5p -0.21, x\u1ea3y ra ch\u1ec9 m\u1ed9t ng\u00e0y sau khi gi\u00e1 BTC ch\u1ea1m \u0111\u00e1y \u1edf m\u1ee9c 15,476 USD v\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 21\/11\/2022. N\u00f3 ch\u1ec9 quay tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i v\u00f9ng hope\/fear m\u00e0u cam v\u00e0i ng\u00e0y tr\u01b0\u1edbc, \u0111\u1ea1t 0.05 g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"NUPL_bao_hieu_su_khoi_dau_cua_mot_thi_truong_tang_gia\"><\/span><b>NUPL b\u00e1o hi\u1ec7u s\u1ef1 kh\u1edfi \u0111\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u0103ng gi\u00e1<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Tr\u00ean bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n c\u1ee7a NUPL v\u00e0 gi\u00e1 BTC, Fiahub nh\u1eadn th\u1ea5y t\u1ea7m quan tr\u1ecdng c\u1ee7a vi\u1ec7c ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o quay tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i v\u00f9ng t\u00edch c\u1ef1c. D\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u n\u00e0y th\u01b0\u1eddng b\u00e1o hi\u1ec7u s\u1ef1 k\u1ebft th\u00fac kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng gi\u00e1 xu\u1ed1ng, m\u00e0 c\u00f2n c\u1ee7a giai \u0111o\u1ea1n t\u00edch l\u0169y k\u00e9o d\u00e0i v\u00e0i th\u00e1ng ngay sau \u0111\u00f3 (v\u00f2ng tr\u00f2n m\u00e0u xanh l\u00e1 c\u00e2y).<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Trong c\u1ea3 n\u0103m 2015 v\u00e0 2019, vi\u1ec7c NUPL tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb m\u00e0u cam ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n t\u01b0\u01a1ng quan v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c k\u1ebft th\u00fac t\u00edch l\u0169y. T\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh h\u01a1i kh\u00e1c sau th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng gi\u00e1 xu\u1ed1ng \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean trong l\u1ecbch s\u1eed v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2012. V\u00e0o th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m \u0111\u00f3, ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng l\u00ean v\u00f9ng t\u00edch c\u1ef1c, ch\u1ec9 sau \u0111\u00f3 quay tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i v\u00f9ng \u0111\u1ea7u h\u00e0ng v\u00e0 t\u0103ng tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i (v\u00f2ng tr\u00f2n xanh lam v\u00e0 xanh l\u1ee5c).<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Ch\u00fang ta \u0111ang th\u1ea5y m\u1ed9t t\u00ecnh hu\u1ed1ng t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 trong chu k\u1ef3 hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i. S\u1ef1 s\u1ee5p \u0111\u1ed5 c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ti\u1ec1n \u0111i\u1ec7n t\u1eed do s\u1ef1 s\u1ee5p \u0111\u1ed5 c\u1ee7a h\u1ec7 sinh th\u00e1i Terra (LUNA) l\u00e0 ch\u1ea5t x\u00fac t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u00ean s\u1ef1 d\u1ecbch chuy\u1ec3n c\u1ee7a ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o n\u00e0y. Vi\u1ec7c quay tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i m\u1ee9c m\u00e0u cam kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i v\u00e0 t\u1ec7 h\u01a1n n\u1eefa l\u00e0 ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o on-chain Bitcoin NUPL \u0111\u00e3 r\u01a1i tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i v\u1ec1 v\u00f9ng m\u00e0u \u0111\u1ecf \u0111\u1ec3 ch\u1ea1m \u0111\u00e1y sau khi s\u00e0n giao d\u1ecbch FTX s\u1ee5p \u0111\u1ed5 v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 11\/2022.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Tuy nhi\u00ean, l\u1ea7n th\u1ee9 hai quay tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i v\u00f9ng hope c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 b\u00e1o hi\u1ec7u s\u1ef1 k\u1ebft th\u00fac c\u1ee7a giai \u0111o\u1ea1n t\u00edch l\u0169y. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn b\u1edfi gi\u00e1 BTC tu\u1ea7n qua \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c dao \u0111\u1ed9ng quanh m\u1ee9c 23,000 USD. G\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y, gi\u00e1 Bitcoin \u0111\u00e3 v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 quan tr\u1ecdng \u1edf m\u1ee9c 21,500 USD. Khi l\u00e0m nh\u01b0 v\u1eady, n\u00f3 \u0111\u00e3 t\u1ea1o ra \u0111\u1ec9nh d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n cao h\u01a1n \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb khi k\u1ebft th\u00fac th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng gi\u00e1 l\u00ean tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_20481\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-20481\" style=\"width: 1600px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-20481\" src=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/01-32-02-bitcoin-net-unrealized-profit-loss-nupl-14d-moving-average.png\" alt=\"Ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o on-chain Bitcoin NUPL\" width=\"1600\" height=\"900\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/01-32-02-bitcoin-net-unrealized-profit-loss-nupl-14d-moving-average.png 1600w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/01-32-02-bitcoin-net-unrealized-profit-loss-nupl-14d-moving-average-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/01-32-02-bitcoin-net-unrealized-profit-loss-nupl-14d-moving-average-1024x576.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/01-32-02-bitcoin-net-unrealized-profit-loss-nupl-14d-moving-average-150x84.png 150w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/01-32-02-bitcoin-net-unrealized-profit-loss-nupl-14d-moving-average-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/01-32-02-bitcoin-net-unrealized-profit-loss-nupl-14d-moving-average-1536x864.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/01-32-02-bitcoin-net-unrealized-profit-loss-nupl-14d-moving-average-450x253.png 450w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/01-32-02-bitcoin-net-unrealized-profit-loss-nupl-14d-moving-average-1200x675.png 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1600px) 100vw, 1600px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-20481\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o on-chain Bitcoin NUPL<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Loi_ket_Gia_Bitcoin_se_tang_cao_den_muc_nao\"><\/span><b>L\u1eddi k\u1ebft: Gi\u00e1 Bitcoin s\u1ebd t\u0103ng cao \u0111\u1ebfn m\u1ee9c n\u00e0o?<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">D\u1ef1a tr\u00ean c\u00e1c ti\u1ec1n \u0111\u1ec1 m\u00e0 Fiahub v\u1eeba ph\u00e2n t\u00edch \u1edf tr\u00ean, ch\u00fang ta c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh th\u1eddi gian c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 c\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u1ed9 c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ec9nh Bitcoin trong th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 ti\u1ebfp theo.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><b>Th\u1ee9 nh\u1ea5t<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> l\u00e0 gi\u00e1 BTC \u0111\u00e3 ch\u1ea1m \u0111\u00e1y.\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><b>Th\u1ee9 hai<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> l\u00e0 vi\u1ec7c NUPL quay tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i v\u00f9ng m\u00e0u cam c\u1ee7a hy v\u1ecdng b\u00e1o hi\u1ec7u s\u1ef1 k\u1ebft th\u00fac c\u1ee7a giai \u0111o\u1ea1n t\u00edch l\u0169y.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Ngo\u00e0i ra, c\u00e1c ti\u1ec1n \u0111\u1ec1 v\u1ec1 chu k\u1ef3 k\u00e9o d\u00e0i v\u00e0 l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn gi\u1ea3m d\u1ea7n c\u1ee7a Bitcoin ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn. Nh\u1eefng \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y xu\u1ea5t ph\u00e1t t\u1eeb d\u1eef li\u1ec7u l\u1ecbch s\u1eed, ch\u1ec9 ra r\u1eb1ng m\u1ed7i \u0111\u1ec9nh gi\u00e1 BTC li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp \u0111\u1ec1u th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u1ee9ng so v\u1edbi \u0111\u1ec9nh tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3. H\u01a1n n\u1eefa, n\u00f3 \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c sau m\u1ed9t kho\u1ea3ng th\u1eddi gian d\u00e0i h\u01a1n. \u0110\u1ebfm t\u1eeb t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u NUPL \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ec9nh c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng gi\u00e1 l\u00ean trong l\u1ecbch s\u1eed, ch\u00fang ta th\u1ea5y m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 g\u00f3c nh\u00ecn th\u00fa v\u1ecb sau \u0111\u00e2y:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><b>2012-2013<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">: T\u00edn hi\u1ec7u NUPL ng\u00e0y 16\/04\/2012, gi\u00e1 BTC t\u0103ng 23,606% sau 588 ng\u00e0y,<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><b>2015-2017<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">: T\u00edn hi\u1ec7u NUPL ng\u00e0y 28\/10\/2015, BTC t\u0103ng 6,836% sau 777 ng\u00e0y,<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><b>2019-2021<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">: T\u00edn hi\u1ec7u NUPL ng\u00e0y 8\/4\/2019, BTC t\u0103ng 1,233% sau 945 ng\u00e0y.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Gi\u1eef c\u00e1c t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 tr\u00ean c\u1ee7a ph\u1ea7n m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng chu k\u1ef3 (trung b\u00ecnh 1.26 l\u1ea7n) v\u00e0 l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn gi\u1ea3m d\u1ea7n (trung b\u00ecnh 4.5 l\u1ea7n), ch\u00fang ta c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 ti\u1ebfp theo. D\u1ef1a tr\u00ean c\u00e1c ph\u00e9p t\u00ednh \u0111\u01a1n gi\u1ea3n v\u00e0 duy tr\u00ec c\u00e1c t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ecbnh, ch\u00fang ta nh\u1eadn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1ee9c gi\u00e1 Bitcoin cao nh\u1ea5t c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ebfn trong th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 ti\u1ebfp theo v\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 05\/1\/2026 l\u00e0 78,000 USD.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Gi\u1ea3 thuy\u1ebft n\u00e0y ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn kh\u00f4ng ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng gi\u00e1 Bitcoin tr\u00ean 100,000 USD nh\u01b0 nhi\u1ec1u ng\u01b0\u1eddi v\u1eabn k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng. Tuy nhi\u00ean, d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean d\u1eef li\u1ec7u l\u1ecbch s\u1eed v\u1ec1 gi\u00e1 BTC v\u00e0 ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o on-chain Bitcoin NUPL, \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c mong \u0111\u1ee3i tr\u00ean th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>D\u1eef li\u1ec7u c\u1eadp nh\u1eadt t\u1eeb ng\u00e0y 23\/1 &#8211; 29\/1. Xem th\u00eam: Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch d\u1eef li\u1ec7u on-chain tu\u1ea7n 4\/2023: Ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o on-chain Bitcoin MVRV-Z v\u00e0 BTC realized price cho th\u1ea5y \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111\u00e1y Trong b\u00e0i ph\u00e2n t\u00edch ng\u00e0y h\u00f4m nay, Fiahub s\u1ebd xem x\u00e9t m\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o on-chain Bitcoin n\u1ed5i ti\u1ebfng l\u00e0 Net<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":23,"featured_media":20482,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[21849],"tags":[221,21871,8097],"class_list":{"0":"post-20480","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-phan-tich-nhan-dinh","8":"tag-bitcoin","9":"tag-nupl","10":"tag-on-chain"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v25.0 (Yoast SEO v27.6) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch d\u1eef li\u1ec7u on-chain tu\u1ea7n 5\/2023 - 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