{"id":15995,"date":"2022-05-02T17:17:15","date_gmt":"2022-05-02T10:17:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/?p=15995"},"modified":"2022-05-02T17:17:15","modified_gmt":"2022-05-02T10:17:15","slug":"phan-tich-du-lieu-on-chain-tuan-18-2022","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/phan-tich-du-lieu-on-chain-tuan-18-2022\/","title":{"rendered":"Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch d\u1eef li\u1ec7u on-chain tu\u1ea7n #18: BTC \u0111ang \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 th\u1ea5p v\u00e0 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1edbm b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">D\u1eef li\u1ec7u c\u1eadp nh\u1eadt t\u1eeb ng\u00e0y 25\/4 &#8211; 1\/4.<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"><strong>Xem th\u00eam<\/strong>: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/phan-tich-du-lieu-on-chain-tuan-17-2022\/\">Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch d\u1eef li\u1ec7u on-chain tu\u1ea7n #17: Xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 x\u1ea3y ra khi NUPL gi\u1eef tr\u00ean m\u1ee9c 0.25<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_83 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\"><p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">N\u1ed9i dung b\u00e0i vi\u1ebft<\/p>\n<\/div><nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 ' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/phan-tich-du-lieu-on-chain-tuan-18-2022\/#Chi_bao_on-chain_SSR\" >Ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o on-chain SSR<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/phan-tich-du-lieu-on-chain-tuan-18-2022\/#Chi_bao_on-chain_NVT\" >Ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o on-chain NVT<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/phan-tich-du-lieu-on-chain-tuan-18-2022\/#Tom_lai\" >T\u00f3m l\u1ea1i<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Chi_bao_on-chain_SSR\"><\/span><b>Ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o on-chain SSR<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">SSR l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o on-chain \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 gi\u1eefa ngu\u1ed3n cung <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/stablecoin-la-gi-uu-diem-va-nhuoc-diem-cua-stablecoin\/\">stablecoin<\/a> v\u00e0 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/bitcoin-la-gi-tong-quan-ve-dong-tien-dien-tu-dau-tien\/\">Bitcoin<\/a> (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/cach-mua-ban-ethereum-bitcoin-co-ban\/\">BTC<\/a>). V\u1ec1 l\u00fd thuy\u1ebft, ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o on-chain n\u00e0y s\u1ebd thay \u0111\u1ed5i khi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00f3 s\u1ef1 d\u1ecbch chuy\u1ec3n v\u1ec1 ngu\u1ed3n cung stablecoin ho\u1eb7c gi\u00e1 BTC. Gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb SSR th\u1ea5p cho th\u1ea5y r\u1eb1ng m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn ngu\u1ed3n cung BTC c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c mua b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng stablecoin. V\u00ed d\u1ee5, gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb SSR l\u00e0 5 cho th\u1ea5y r\u1eb1ng 20% \u200b\u200b(1\/5) ngu\u1ed3n cung BTC c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c mua b\u1eb1ng stablecoin.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">T\u00edn hi\u1ec7u mua \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u01b0a ra b\u1ea5t c\u1ee9 khi n\u00e0o ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o on-chain SSR gi\u1ea3m xu\u1ed1ng d\u01b0\u1edbi <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/kien-thuc-dau-tu-tim-hieu-ve-dai-bollinger\/\">d\u1ea3i Bollinger<\/a> (BB) ph\u00eda d\u01b0\u1edbi (v\u00f2ng tr\u00f2n m\u00e0u \u0111en). \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y cho th\u1ea5y r\u1eb1ng ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1ea3m m\u1ed9t m\u1ee9c \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 so v\u1edbi b\u00ecnh th\u01b0\u1eddng. Cho \u0111\u1ebfn nay, ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f3 t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 n\u0103m l\u1ea7n n\u1eb1m d\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng BB, b\u1ed1n trong s\u1ed1 ch\u00fang (v\u00f2ng tr\u00f2n \u0111en) \u0111\u00e3 cho th\u1ea5y nh\u1eefng chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111i l\u00ean \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 c\u1ee7a gi\u00e1 BTC.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_15996\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-15996\" style=\"width: 1800px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-15996 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/05-05-01-bitcoin-stablecoin-supply-ratio-ssr.webp\" alt=\"Ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o on-chain SSR\" width=\"1800\" height=\"1013\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/05-05-01-bitcoin-stablecoin-supply-ratio-ssr.webp 1800w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/05-05-01-bitcoin-stablecoin-supply-ratio-ssr-300x169.webp 300w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/05-05-01-bitcoin-stablecoin-supply-ratio-ssr-1024x576.webp 1024w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/05-05-01-bitcoin-stablecoin-supply-ratio-ssr-150x84.webp 150w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/05-05-01-bitcoin-stablecoin-supply-ratio-ssr-768x432.webp 768w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/05-05-01-bitcoin-stablecoin-supply-ratio-ssr-1536x864.webp 1536w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/05-05-01-bitcoin-stablecoin-supply-ratio-ssr-450x253.webp 450w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/05-05-01-bitcoin-stablecoin-supply-ratio-ssr-1200x675.webp 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1800px) 100vw, 1800px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-15996\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o on-chain SSR<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">V\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 22\/1, SSR \u0111\u1ea1t gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t m\u1ecdi th\u1eddi \u0111\u1ea1i m\u1edbi l\u00e0 4.4, gi\u1ea3m xu\u1ed1ng d\u01b0\u1edbi d\u1ea3i Bollinger Band d\u01b0\u1edbi (v\u00f2ng tr\u00f2n m\u00e0u \u0111\u1ecf). N\u00f3 \u0111\u00e3 b\u1eadt l\u00ean sau \u0111\u00f3, c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi gi\u00e1 BTC, \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng l\u00ean 46,000 USD. \u1ede th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i, ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o SSR \u0111ang n\u1eb1m gi\u1eefa d\u1ea3i BB tr\u00ean v\u00e0 d\u01b0\u1edbi v\u00e0 c\u00f3 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng d\u1ecbch chuy\u1ec3n g\u1ea7n v\u1edbi d\u1ea3i d\u01b0\u1edbi h\u01a1n. So v\u1edbi c\u00e1c l\u1ea7n trong l\u1ecbch s\u1eed th\u00ec c\u00f3 v\u1ebb nh\u01b0 \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng y\u1ebfu nh\u1ea5t cho \u0111\u1ebfn nay. \u0110\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi <strong>ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o SSR c\u0169ng g\u1ee3i \u00fd r\u1eb1ng nhi\u1ec1u kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng s\u1ebd xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n m\u1ed9t <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/altcoin-season-la-gi-lam-sao-de-biet-altcoin-season-dang-den\/\">altcoin season<\/a> kh\u00e1c s\u1eafp t\u1edbi<\/strong>.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Ngu\u1ed3n cung l\u01b0u h\u00e0nh c\u1ee7a USDT (m\u00e0u xanh l\u00e1 c\u00e2y) \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng v\u1edbi t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 nhanh ch\u00f3ng k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb th\u00e1ng 3\/2020. Trong khi m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng ch\u1eadm l\u1ea1i v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 1\/2022, ngu\u1ed3n cung lu\u00e2n chuy\u1ec3n v\u1eabn \u0111ang t\u0103ng l\u00ean. V\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 4, n\u00f3 \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t m\u1ecdi th\u1eddi \u0111\u1ea1i l\u00e0 83 t\u1ef7 USD.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_15997\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-15997\" style=\"width: 1800px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-15997 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/05-05-02-tether-usd-circulating-supply-usdt.webp\" alt=\"Ngu\u1ed3n cung USDT\" width=\"1800\" height=\"1013\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/05-05-02-tether-usd-circulating-supply-usdt.webp 1800w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/05-05-02-tether-usd-circulating-supply-usdt-300x169.webp 300w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/05-05-02-tether-usd-circulating-supply-usdt-1024x576.webp 1024w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/05-05-02-tether-usd-circulating-supply-usdt-150x84.webp 150w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/05-05-02-tether-usd-circulating-supply-usdt-768x432.webp 768w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/05-05-02-tether-usd-circulating-supply-usdt-1536x864.webp 1536w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/05-05-02-tether-usd-circulating-supply-usdt-450x253.webp 450w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/05-05-02-tether-usd-circulating-supply-usdt-1200x675.webp 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1800px) 100vw, 1800px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-15997\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Ngu\u1ed3n cung USDT<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">M\u1ed9t quan s\u00e1t th\u00fa v\u1ecb l\u00e0 k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb th\u00e1ng 1\/2022 (v\u00f2ng tr\u00f2n m\u00e0u \u0111en), s\u1ed1 d\u01b0 USDT tr\u00ean c\u00e1c s\u00e0n giao d\u1ecbch \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng l\u00ean, trong khi ngu\u1ed3n cung b\u1ecb kh\u00f3a trong c\u00e1c h\u1ee3p \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u00f4ng minh (m\u00e0u xanh l\u00e1 c\u00e2y) \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1ea3m. Th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf l\u00e0 USDT \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c n\u1eafm gi\u1eef b\u1edfi c\u00e1c s\u00e0n giao d\u1ecbch \u0111ang t\u0103ng l\u00ean v\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 c\u00f3 ngh\u0129a l\u00e0 <strong>c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 \u0111ang chu\u1ea9n b\u1ecb mua v\u00e0o<\/strong>.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_15998\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-15998\" style=\"width: 1800px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-15998 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/05-05-03-usdt-exchange-balance-usdt-supply-in-smart-contracts-1.webp\" alt=\"L\u01b0\u1ee3ng USDT tr\u00ean c\u00e1c s\u00e0n giao d\u1ecbch\" width=\"1800\" height=\"1013\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/05-05-03-usdt-exchange-balance-usdt-supply-in-smart-contracts-1.webp 1800w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/05-05-03-usdt-exchange-balance-usdt-supply-in-smart-contracts-1-300x169.webp 300w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/05-05-03-usdt-exchange-balance-usdt-supply-in-smart-contracts-1-1024x576.webp 1024w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/05-05-03-usdt-exchange-balance-usdt-supply-in-smart-contracts-1-150x84.webp 150w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/05-05-03-usdt-exchange-balance-usdt-supply-in-smart-contracts-1-768x432.webp 768w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/05-05-03-usdt-exchange-balance-usdt-supply-in-smart-contracts-1-1536x864.webp 1536w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/05-05-03-usdt-exchange-balance-usdt-supply-in-smart-contracts-1-450x253.webp 450w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/05-05-03-usdt-exchange-balance-usdt-supply-in-smart-contracts-1-1200x675.webp 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1800px) 100vw, 1800px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-15998\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">L\u01b0\u1ee3ng USDT tr\u00ean c\u00e1c s\u00e0n giao d\u1ecbch<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Khi nh\u00ecn v\u00e0o l\u01b0\u1ee3ng stablecoin tr\u00ean c\u00e1c s\u00e0n giao d\u1ecbch v\u00e0 gi\u00e1 BTC (m\u00e0u \u0111en), c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 th\u1ea5y r\u1eb1ng th\u01b0\u1eddng th\u00ec USDT tr\u00ean c\u00e1c s\u00e0n giao d\u1ecbch t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 BTC. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 nh\u00ecn th\u1ea5y trong c\u1ea3 th\u00e1ng 2 v\u00e0 th\u00e1ng 5\/2021 (v\u00f2ng tr\u00f2n m\u00e0u v\u00e0ng). Tuy nhi\u00ean, m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh c\u1ee7a th\u00e1ng 1\/2022 v\u1eabn ch\u01b0a d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn vi\u1ec7c t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_15999\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-15999\" style=\"width: 1800px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-15999\" src=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/05-05-04-usdt-exchange-balance-usdt-supply-in-smart-contracts-btc-price-1.webp\" alt=\"L\u01b0\u1ee3ng USDT tr\u00ean c\u00e1c s\u00e0n giao d\u1ecbch v\u00e0 smart contract\" width=\"1800\" height=\"1013\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/05-05-04-usdt-exchange-balance-usdt-supply-in-smart-contracts-btc-price-1.webp 1800w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/05-05-04-usdt-exchange-balance-usdt-supply-in-smart-contracts-btc-price-1-300x169.webp 300w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/05-05-04-usdt-exchange-balance-usdt-supply-in-smart-contracts-btc-price-1-1024x576.webp 1024w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/05-05-04-usdt-exchange-balance-usdt-supply-in-smart-contracts-btc-price-1-150x84.webp 150w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/05-05-04-usdt-exchange-balance-usdt-supply-in-smart-contracts-btc-price-1-768x432.webp 768w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/05-05-04-usdt-exchange-balance-usdt-supply-in-smart-contracts-btc-price-1-1536x864.webp 1536w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/05-05-04-usdt-exchange-balance-usdt-supply-in-smart-contracts-btc-price-1-450x253.webp 450w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/05-05-04-usdt-exchange-balance-usdt-supply-in-smart-contracts-btc-price-1-1200x675.webp 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1800px) 100vw, 1800px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-15999\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">L\u01b0\u1ee3ng USDT tr\u00ean c\u00e1c s\u00e0n giao d\u1ecbch v\u00e0 smart contract<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Ph\u1ea3i n\u00f3i r\u1eb1ng, c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ee3t t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 ch\u1eadm tr\u1ec5 s\u1ebd x\u1ea3y ra, t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 nh\u01b0 nh\u1eefng g\u00ec \u0111\u00e3 x\u1ea3y ra v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 5\/2021. M\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh c\u0169ng cho th\u1ea5y <strong>gi\u00e1 BTC hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i \u0111ang \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n<\/strong>. H\u01a1n n\u1eefa, s\u1ef1 quan t\u00e2m \u0111\u1ebfn m\u1ea1ng d\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0 \u0111ang \u1edf m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t m\u1ecdi th\u1eddi \u0111\u1ea1i.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Chi_bao_on-chain_NVT\"><\/span><b>Ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o on-chain NVT<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">\u0110\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u1ea1o b\u1edfi Willy Woo, NVT (Network Value to Transation) l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o on-chain \u0111o l\u01b0\u1eddng t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 gi\u1eefa kh\u1ed1i l\u01b0\u1ee3ng giao d\u1ecbch c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n v\u00e0 v\u1ed1n h\u00f3a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u1ee7a n\u00f3. Ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o \u1edf m\u1ee9c cao c\u00f3 ngh\u0129a l\u00e0 gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb m\u1ea1ng \u0111ang t\u0103ng v\u1edbi t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 cao h\u01a1n kh\u1ed1i l\u01b0\u1ee3ng giao d\u1ecbch c\u1ee7a n\u00f3. \u0110\u00e2y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c coi l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1, v\u00ec n\u00f3 ch\u1ec9 ra r\u1eb1ng s\u1ef1 gia t\u0103ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 kh\u00f4ng b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">K\u1ec3 t\u1eeb khi \u0111\u1ee3t t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 12\/2018, NVT \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0a ra c\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 t\u1eeb 15 \u0111\u1ebfn 66. N\u00f3 \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c giao d\u1ecbch trong kho\u1ea3ng t\u1eeb 30 \u0111\u1ebfn 50 trong ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn th\u1eddi gian (h\u00ecnh ch\u1eef nh\u1eadt m\u00e0u \u0111en), nh\u01b0ng \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng sai l\u1ec7ch \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 d\u01b0\u1edbi v\u00e0 tr\u00ean k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb th\u00e1ng 7\/2021. \u0110i\u1ec1u th\u00fa v\u1ecb l\u00e0 n\u00f3 \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1ea3m v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 4 v\u00e0 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p 8.28 v\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 28\/4 (v\u00f2ng tr\u00f2n m\u00e0u \u0111\u1ecf). \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb th\u00e1ng 1\/2018. Do \u0111\u00f3, d\u1ef1a theo ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o on-chain NVT, gi\u00e1 BTC hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i \u0111ang \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 r\u1ea5t th\u1ea5p.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_16000\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-16000\" style=\"width: 1800px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-16000\" src=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/05-05-05-bitcoin-network-value-to-transactions-ratio-nvt-7-d-exponential-moving-average-1.webp\" alt=\"Ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o on-chain Bitcoin NVT\" width=\"1800\" height=\"1013\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/05-05-05-bitcoin-network-value-to-transactions-ratio-nvt-7-d-exponential-moving-average-1.webp 1800w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/05-05-05-bitcoin-network-value-to-transactions-ratio-nvt-7-d-exponential-moving-average-1-300x169.webp 300w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/05-05-05-bitcoin-network-value-to-transactions-ratio-nvt-7-d-exponential-moving-average-1-1024x576.webp 1024w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/05-05-05-bitcoin-network-value-to-transactions-ratio-nvt-7-d-exponential-moving-average-1-150x84.webp 150w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/05-05-05-bitcoin-network-value-to-transactions-ratio-nvt-7-d-exponential-moving-average-1-768x432.webp 768w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/05-05-05-bitcoin-network-value-to-transactions-ratio-nvt-7-d-exponential-moving-average-1-1536x864.webp 1536w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/05-05-05-bitcoin-network-value-to-transactions-ratio-nvt-7-d-exponential-moving-average-1-450x253.webp 450w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/05-05-05-bitcoin-network-value-to-transactions-ratio-nvt-7-d-exponential-moving-average-1-1200x675.webp 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1800px) 100vw, 1800px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-16000\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o on-chain Bitcoin NVT<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">NVT signal l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t bi\u1ebfn th\u1ec3 kh\u00e1c c\u1ee7a ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o NVT. N\u00f3 s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng 90 ng\u00e0y (MA 90) c\u1ee7a kh\u1ed1i l\u01b0\u1ee3ng giao d\u1ecbch thay v\u00ec d\u1eef li\u1ec7u th\u00f4 nh\u01b0 nh\u1eefng g\u00ec ch\u00fang ta trao \u0111\u1ed5i \u1edf tr\u00ean. Ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o d\u01b0\u1edbi m\u1ee9c 20 ch\u1ec9 b\u1ed1n l\u1ea7n (v\u00f2ng tr\u00f2n \u0111en) k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb th\u00e1ng 12\/2018. Ba l\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn c\u00e1c chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111i l\u00ean \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 v\u1ec1 gi\u00e1 BTC, trong khi l\u1ea7n th\u1ee9 4 v\u1eabn ch\u01b0a r\u00f5 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng. Hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i, NVT signal \u0111ang \u1edf m\u1ee9c 17,8 v\u00e0 \u0111ang ti\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ebfn m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 16.6. V\u00ec \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u1eeb c\u00e1c m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p \u0111\u00f3 (\u0111\u01b0\u1eddng m\u00e0u \u0111en) v\u1eabn c\u00f2n nguy\u00ean v\u1eb9n, n\u00ean kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng <strong>xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp theo v\u1eabn c\u00f2n<\/strong>.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_16001\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-16001\" style=\"width: 1800px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-16001\" src=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/05-05-06-bitcoin-network-value-to-transactions-signal.webp\" alt=\"Ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o on-chain Bitcoin NVT Signal\" width=\"1800\" height=\"1013\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/05-05-06-bitcoin-network-value-to-transactions-signal.webp 1800w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/05-05-06-bitcoin-network-value-to-transactions-signal-300x169.webp 300w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/05-05-06-bitcoin-network-value-to-transactions-signal-1024x576.webp 1024w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/05-05-06-bitcoin-network-value-to-transactions-signal-150x84.webp 150w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/05-05-06-bitcoin-network-value-to-transactions-signal-768x432.webp 768w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/05-05-06-bitcoin-network-value-to-transactions-signal-1536x864.webp 1536w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/05-05-06-bitcoin-network-value-to-transactions-signal-450x253.webp 450w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/05-05-06-bitcoin-network-value-to-transactions-signal-1200x675.webp 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1800px) 100vw, 1800px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-16001\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o on-chain Bitcoin NVT Signal<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng, m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh gi\u00e1 NVT cho th\u1ea5y nhi\u1ec1u kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng s\u1ebd c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t xu h\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111i l\u00ean v\u1ec1 gi\u00e1 BTC theo sau \u0111\u00f3. M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng m\u1ee9c trung b\u00ecnh c\u1ee7a t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 NVT 28 ng\u00e0y (xanh l\u1ee5c) v\u00e0 90 ng\u00e0y (\u0111\u1ecf) c\u1ee7a t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 NVT \u0111\u1ec3 cung c\u1ea5p t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u nhanh v\u00e0 ch\u1eadm.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">S\u1ef1 giao nhau trong xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng x\u1ea3y ra khi t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u nhanh (xanh l\u00e1 c\u00e2y) v\u01b0\u1ee3t l\u00ean tr\u00ean t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u ch\u1eadm (\u0111\u1ecf). Trong l\u1ecbch s\u1eed, nh\u1eefng \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y \u0111\u1ec1u cho th\u1ea5y nh\u1eefng chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111i l\u00ean (v\u00f2ng tr\u00f2n \u0111en).\u00a0<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">M\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 giao nhau trong xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng \u0111\u00e3 x\u1ea3y ra v\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 11\/4 (v\u00f2ng tr\u00f2n m\u00e0u \u0111\u1ecf) v\u00e0 t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u nhanh \u0111\u00e3 \u0111i l\u00ean v\u1edbi t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 nhanh h\u01a1n k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3. Cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng, NVT v\u00e0 c\u00e1c bi\u1ebfn th\u1ec3 c\u1ee7a n\u00f3 \u0111\u1ec1u cho th\u1ea5y r\u1eb1ng <strong>BTC \u0111ang \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 th\u1ea5p v\u00e0 m\u1ed9t xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1edbm b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u<\/strong>.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_16002\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-16002\" style=\"width: 1800px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-16002\" src=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/05-05-07-nvt-price-model.webp\" alt=\"M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh gi\u00e1 NVT\" width=\"1800\" height=\"1013\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/05-05-07-nvt-price-model.webp 1800w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/05-05-07-nvt-price-model-300x169.webp 300w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/05-05-07-nvt-price-model-1024x576.webp 1024w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/05-05-07-nvt-price-model-150x84.webp 150w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/05-05-07-nvt-price-model-768x432.webp 768w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/05-05-07-nvt-price-model-1536x864.webp 1536w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/05-05-07-nvt-price-model-450x253.webp 450w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/05-05-07-nvt-price-model-1200x675.webp 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1800px) 100vw, 1800px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-16002\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">M\u00f4 h\u00ecnh gi\u00e1 NVT<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Tom_lai\"><\/span><b>T\u00f3m l\u1ea1i<\/b><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Tu\u1ea7n qua l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t tu\u1ea7n gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 v\u1edbi Bitcoin m\u00e0 to\u00e0n th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng. Gi\u00e1 Bitcoin dao \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c 37,401 USD &#8211; 40,817 USD. Trong kh\u00f4ng kh\u00ed \u1ea3m \u0111\u1ea1m v\u1ec1 gi\u00e1 \u0111\u00f3, c\u00e1c d\u1eef li\u1ec7u on-chain \u0111\u1ec1u cho th\u1ea5y vi\u1ec7c gi\u00e1 BTC hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i \u0111ang \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n so v\u1edbi th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf. M\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o on-chain \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 vi\u1ec7c gi\u00e1 s\u1ebd theo m\u1ed9t xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng trong th\u1eddi gian t\u1edbi.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Tuy nhi\u00ean, ch\u00fang ta c\u0169ng c\u1ea7n ph\u1ea3i l\u01b0u \u00fd \u0111\u1ebfn c\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 kinh t\u1ebf v\u0129 m\u00f4 nh\u01b0 vi\u1ec7c FED s\u1ebd c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t l\u1ea7n 2 s\u1ebd t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 BTC. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y s\u1ebd k\u00ecm h\u00e3m v\u00e0 k\u00e9o d\u00e0i vi\u1ec7c b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng nh\u01b0 nh\u1eefng g\u00ec ch\u00fang ta v\u1eeba ph\u00e2n t\u00edch \u1edf tr\u00ean.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Hi v\u1ecdng th\u00f4ng qua b\u00e0i vi\u1ebft n\u00e0y, Fiahub \u0111\u00e3 mang \u0111\u1ebfn cho \u0111\u1ed9c gi\u1ea3 nh\u1eefng c\u00e1i nh\u00ecn t\u1ed5ng quan v\u1ec1 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng trong tu\u1ea7n qua. \u0110\u1eebng qu\u00ean chia s\u1ebb b\u00e0i vi\u1ebft n\u00e0y n\u1ebfu nh\u01b0 b\u1ea1n th\u1ea5y hay v\u00e0 h\u1eb9n g\u1eb7p l\u1ea1i trong c\u00e1c b\u00e0i vi\u1ebft ti\u1ebfp theo nh\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>D\u1eef li\u1ec7u c\u1eadp nh\u1eadt t\u1eeb ng\u00e0y 25\/4 &#8211; 1\/4. Xem th\u00eam: Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch d\u1eef li\u1ec7u on-chain tu\u1ea7n #17: Xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 x\u1ea3y ra khi NUPL gi\u1eef tr\u00ean m\u1ee9c 0.25 Ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o on-chain SSR SSR l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o on-chain \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 gi\u1eefa ngu\u1ed3n cung stablecoin v\u00e0 Bitcoin<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":23,"featured_media":16005,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[21849],"tags":[221,8097],"class_list":{"0":"post-15995","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-phan-tich-nhan-dinh","8":"tag-bitcoin","9":"tag-on-chain"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v25.0 (Yoast SEO v27.6) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch d\u1eef li\u1ec7u on-chain tu\u1ea7n #18: BTC \u0111ang \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 th\u1ea5p v\u00e0 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1edbm b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u - 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