{"id":15519,"date":"2022-04-18T09:00:00","date_gmt":"2022-04-18T02:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/?p=15519"},"modified":"2022-04-18T11:41:19","modified_gmt":"2022-04-18T04:41:19","slug":"phan-tich-du-lieu-on-chain-tuan-16-2022","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/phan-tich-du-lieu-on-chain-tuan-16-2022\/","title":{"rendered":"Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch d\u1eef li\u1ec7u on-chain tu\u1ea7n #16: Gi\u00e1 BTC kh\u00f4ng m\u1ea5y l\u1ea1c quan, m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 m\u1ed1c quan tr\u1ecdng c\u1ea7n gi\u1eef \u0111\u1ec3 ng\u0103n ch\u1eb7n t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng gi\u00e1 xu\u1ed1ng"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><em>D\u1eef li\u1ec7u c\u1eadp nh\u1eadt t\u1eeb ng\u00e0y 11\/4 &#8211; 17\/4.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Xem th\u00eam<\/strong>: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/phan-tich-du-lieu-on-chain-tuan-15-2022\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch d\u1eef li\u1ec7u on-chain tu\u1ea7n #15: Gi\u00e1 BTC c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111ang trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n t\u00edch lu\u1ef9 tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng gi\u00e1<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_83 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\"><p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">N\u1ed9i dung b\u00e0i vi\u1ebft<\/p>\n<\/div><nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 ' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/phan-tich-du-lieu-on-chain-tuan-16-2022\/#Supply_in_Profit\" >Supply in Profit<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/phan-tich-du-lieu-on-chain-tuan-16-2022\/#Trung_binh_dong_BTC_200_ngay\" >Trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng BTC 200 ng\u00e0y<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/phan-tich-du-lieu-on-chain-tuan-16-2022\/#Loi_ket\" >L\u1eddi k\u1ebft<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Supply_in_Profit\"><\/span><strong>Supply in Profit<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o ngu\u1ed3n cung c\u00f3 l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn (Supply in Profit) \u0111o l\u01b0\u1eddng t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 ph\u1ea7n tr\u0103m ngu\u1ed3n cung <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/bitcoin-la-gi-tong-quan-ve-dong-tien-dien-tu-dau-tien\/\" data-type=\"post\" data-id=\"1089\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Bitcoin<\/a> (BTC) \u0111ang l\u01b0u th\u00f4ng tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng hi\u1ec7n c\u00f3 l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn. N\u00f3i c\u00e1ch kh\u00e1c, ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 ph\u1ea7n tr\u0103m s\u1ed1 ti\u1ec1n hi\u1ec7n c\u00f3, c\u00f3 gi\u00e1 th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n gi\u00e1 hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i t\u1ea1i th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m di chuy\u1ec3n cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng. Ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o on-chain n\u00e0y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c gi\u1eef \u1edf v\u00f9ng 62.5% v\u00e0 xem \u0111\u00e2y nh\u01b0 l\u00e0 v\u00f9ng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3. \u0110\u00e2y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u cho s\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ea3o ng\u01b0\u1ee3c xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>T\u00ednh \u0111\u1ebfn n\u0103m 2022, ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o Supply in Profit v\u1eabn ch\u01b0a gi\u1ea3m xu\u1ed1ng d\u01b0\u1edbi m\u1ee9c 62.5% (\u0111\u01b0\u1eddng m\u00e0u \u0111\u1ecf). Trong n\u0103m nay, n\u00f3 \u0111\u00e3 b\u1eadt ra kh\u1ecfi v\u00f9ng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 quan tr\u1ecdng ba l\u1ea7n, v\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 22\/1, ng\u00e0y 21\/2 v\u00e0 ng\u00e0y 13\/3, t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u1ee9ng v\u1edbi gi\u00e1 BTC \u1edf c\u00e1c m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 34,000 USD, 36,350 USD v\u00e0 37,555 USD (\u0111\u01b0\u1eddng m\u00e0u xanh lam).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"850\" height=\"478\" src=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/04-16-01-bitcoin-percent-supply-in-profit-850x478-1.png\" alt=\"Supply in Profit. Ngu\u1ed3n: BeInCrypto\" class=\"wp-image-15521\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/04-16-01-bitcoin-percent-supply-in-profit-850x478-1.png 850w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/04-16-01-bitcoin-percent-supply-in-profit-850x478-1-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/04-16-01-bitcoin-percent-supply-in-profit-850x478-1-150x84.png 150w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/04-16-01-bitcoin-percent-supply-in-profit-850x478-1-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/04-16-01-bitcoin-percent-supply-in-profit-850x478-1-450x253.png 450w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 850px) 100vw, 850px\" \/><figcaption>Supply in Profit. Ngu\u1ed3n: BeInCrypto<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i, ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o on-chain n\u00e0y \u0111ang \u1edf m\u1ee9c 67.1% v\u00e0 \u0111ang trong xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n. Song song v\u1edbi \u0111\u00f3, gi\u00e1 Bitcoin hi\u1ec7n c\u0169ng \u0111ang giao d\u1ecbch trong k\u00eanh m\u00e0u xanh l\u00e1 c\u00e2y. \u0110i\u1ec1u th\u00fa v\u1ecb l\u00e0 gi\u00e1 BTC \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ebfn ph\u1ea1m vi th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n c\u1ee7a k\u00eanh t\u0103ng, ghi nh\u1eadn m\u1ee9c \u0111\u00e1y \u1edf m\u1ee9c 39,200 USD v\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 11\/4. X\u00e9t trong khung th\u1eddi gian d\u00e0i h\u01a1n ch\u00fang ta th\u1ea5y r\u1eb1ng ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o on-chain Supply in Profit \u0111\u00e3 \u1edf tr\u00ean m\u1ee9c 62.5% k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb th\u00e1ng 4\/2020 (v\u00f2ng tr\u00f2n m\u00e0u xanh lam).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ch\u00fang ta \u0111\u00e3 th\u1ea5y t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 trong th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 2012-2013, n\u01a1i 62.5% c\u0169ng \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 l\u00e0 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 (v\u00f2ng tr\u00f2n m\u00e0u xanh l\u00e1 c\u00e2y). Trong c\u00f9ng n\u0103m \u0111\u00f3, Supply in Profit kh\u00f4ng gi\u1ea3m xu\u1ed1ng d\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng m\u00e0u \u0111\u1ecf, k\u00e9o d\u00e0i g\u1ea7n hai n\u0103m (22 th\u00e1ng), t\u1eeb th\u00e1ng 5\/2012 \u0111\u1ebfn th\u00e1ng 3\/2014.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"850\" height=\"478\" src=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/04-16-02-bitcoin-percent-supply-in-profit-850x478-1.png\" alt=\"Supply in Profit. Ngu\u1ed3n: BeInCrypto\" class=\"wp-image-15522\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/04-16-02-bitcoin-percent-supply-in-profit-850x478-1.png 850w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/04-16-02-bitcoin-percent-supply-in-profit-850x478-1-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/04-16-02-bitcoin-percent-supply-in-profit-850x478-1-150x84.png 150w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/04-16-02-bitcoin-percent-supply-in-profit-850x478-1-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/04-16-02-bitcoin-percent-supply-in-profit-850x478-1-450x253.png 450w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 850px) 100vw, 850px\" \/><figcaption>Supply in Profit. Ngu\u1ed3n: BeInCrypto<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Tuy nhi\u00ean, vi\u1ec7c m\u1ea5t h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 quan tr\u1ecdng n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn vi\u1ec7c gi\u00e1 b\u1ecb \u0111\u1ea9y xu\u1ed1ng s\u00e2u h\u01a1n trong c\u1ea3 n\u0103m 2014 v\u00e0 2018. Do \u0111\u00f3, <strong>n\u1ebfu m\u1ee9c 62.5% b\u1ecb ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 trong nh\u1eefng tu\u1ea7n t\u1edbi, gi\u00e1 s\u1ebd c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng gi\u1ea3m m\u1ea1nh.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>N\u1ebfu nh\u01b0 gi\u1ea3 thuy\u1ebft tr\u00ean th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 x\u1ea3y ra, r\u1ee7i ro \u0111\u1ea7u c\u01a1 tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng Bitcoin c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1ebd l\u00e0 th\u1eadt. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn b\u1edfi m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u kh\u00e1c \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u01b0a ra b\u1edfi m\u1ed9t nh\u00e0 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ti\u1ec1n \u0111i\u1ec7n t\u1eed n\u1ed5i ti\u1ebfng l\u00e0 PlanC (TheRealPlanC).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o on-chain Long-Term Holder Capitulation Signal cho th\u1ea5y c\u00e1c kho\u1ea3ng th\u1eddi gian m\u00e0 s\u1ef1 s\u1ee5t gi\u1ea3m v\u1ec1 gi\u00e1 c\u1ee7a BTC b\u1ecb \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng b\u1edfi vi\u1ec7c b\u00e1n th\u00e1o t\u1eeb nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi n\u1eafm gi\u1eef l\u00e2u d\u00e0i.&nbsp; Trong su\u1ed1t l\u1ecbch s\u1eed c\u1ee7a Bitcoin, ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o on-chain n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 \u1edf d\u01b0\u1edbi m\u1ee9c 0 b\u1ed1n l\u1ea7n (v\u00f9ng m\u00e0u \u0111\u1ecf). N\u00f3 cho th\u1ea5y th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng g\u1ea5u \u0111ang chi\u1ebfm \u01b0u th\u1ebf v\u00e0 \u0111\u00e2y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c coi l\u00e0 c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i thu\u1eadn l\u1ee3i \u0111\u1ec3 mua Bitcoin.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"850\" height=\"478\" src=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/04-16-03-builink-Long_term_holder_capitulation_signal.jpg\" alt=\"Long-Term Holder Capitulation Signal. Ngu\u1ed3n: BeInCrytpo\" class=\"wp-image-15523\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/04-16-03-builink-Long_term_holder_capitulation_signal.jpg 850w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/04-16-03-builink-Long_term_holder_capitulation_signal-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/04-16-03-builink-Long_term_holder_capitulation_signal-150x84.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/04-16-03-builink-Long_term_holder_capitulation_signal-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/04-16-03-builink-Long_term_holder_capitulation_signal-450x253.jpg 450w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 850px) 100vw, 850px\" \/><figcaption>Long-Term Holder Capitulation Signal. Ngu\u1ed3n: BeInCrytpo<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Quan s\u00e1t bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 tr\u00ean, PlanC c\u0169ng l\u01b0u \u00fd r\u1eb1ng v\u1eabn c\u00f2n bi\u00ean \u0111\u1ed9 \u0111\u1ec3 ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o on-chain n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 xoay chuy\u1ec3n xu h\u01b0\u1edbng. Tuy nhi\u00ean, v\u00f9ng ranh gi\u1edbi m\u00e0u \u0111\u1ecf \u0111ang ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng g\u1ea7n h\u01a1n. N\u1ebfu nh\u01b0 ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o n\u00e0y v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng m\u00e0u \u0111\u1ecf \u0111\u00f3 ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn s\u1ebd l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u quan tr\u1ecdng cho th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>M\u1ed9t bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 kh\u00e1c t\u1eeb OnChainCollege c\u0169ng cung c\u1ea5p g\u00f3c nh\u00ecn th\u00fa v\u1ecb v\u1ec1 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 BTC. Bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 Supply P\/L Band cho th\u1ea5y hai bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 \u0111\u1ed1i x\u1ee9ng c\u1ee7a \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng 3 ng\u00e0y Supply in Profit (xanh l\u00e1 c\u00e2y) v\u00e0 Supply in Loss (\u0111\u1ecf). Nh\u00e0 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch l\u01b0u \u00fd r\u1eb1ng b\u1ea5t c\u1ee9 khi n\u00e0o c\u00e1c bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 giao nhau, \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u c\u1ee7a s\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ea7u c\u01a1 tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng BTC (c\u00e1c v\u00f2ng tr\u00f2n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u00e1nh d\u1ea5u). \u00d4ng l\u01b0u \u00fd r\u1eb1ng m\u1eb7c d\u00f9 c\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 on-chain n\u00e0y kh\u00f4ng g\u1ea7n giao nhau, nh\u01b0ng ch\u00fang ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn \u0111ang t\u1ecbnh ti\u1ebfn theo chi\u1ec1u h\u01b0\u1edbng ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn nhau (m\u0169i t\u00ean m\u00e0u cam).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"850\" height=\"435\" src=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/04-16-04-builinkSupply_PL_bands.jpg\" alt=\"Bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 Supply P\/L Band. Ngu\u1ed3n: BeInCrypto\" class=\"wp-image-15524\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/04-16-04-builinkSupply_PL_bands.jpg 850w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/04-16-04-builinkSupply_PL_bands-300x154.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/04-16-04-builinkSupply_PL_bands-150x77.jpg 150w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/04-16-04-builinkSupply_PL_bands-768x393.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/04-16-04-builinkSupply_PL_bands-450x230.jpg 450w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 850px) 100vw, 850px\" \/><figcaption>Bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 Supply P\/L Band. Ngu\u1ed3n: BeInCrypto<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Trung_binh_dong_BTC_200_ngay\"><\/span><strong>Trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng BTC 200 ng\u00e0y<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Mayer Multiple l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o on-chain BTC. N\u00f3 s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 gi\u1eefa gi\u00e1 BTC v\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng 200 ng\u00e0y (MA) \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh xu h\u01b0\u1edbng.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>N\u1ebfu ch\u00fang ta l\u1ea5y gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng MA nh\u00e2n v\u1edbi 2.4 s\u1ebd x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c gi\u00e1 tr\u00ean c\u00f9ng c\u1ee7a chu k\u1ef3 (m\u00e0u t\u00edm).<\/li><li>Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, n\u1ebfu nh\u00e2n gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng MA v\u1edbi 0.8 s\u1ebd x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c gi\u00e1 d\u01b0\u1edbi c\u00f9ng c\u1ee7a chu k\u1ef3 (m\u00e0u xanh l\u00e1 c\u00e2y).<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Cho \u0111\u1ebfn nay, gi\u00e1 \u0111\u00e3 di chuy\u1ec3n tr\u00ean MA n\u00e0y trong m\u1ecdi \u0111\u1ec9nh chu k\u1ef3. Tuy nhi\u00ean, v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 2\/2021, n\u00f3 \u0111\u00e3 ch\u1ea1m \u1edf ph\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ec9nh (v\u00f2ng tr\u00f2n m\u00e0u \u0111en). V\u00e0o th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m \u0111\u00f3, BTC v\u1eeba t\u0103ng l\u00ean tr\u00ean 50,000 USD. Tuy nhi\u00ean, m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ec9nh th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ea1t g\u1ea7n 60,000 USD.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, \u0111\u00e1y BTC kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c nh\u01b0 \u0111\u1ec9nh. M\u1eb7c d\u00f9 \u1edf m\u1ed7i \u0111\u00e1y BTC \u0111\u00e3 th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 di chuy\u1ec3n d\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng MA khi nh\u00e2n v\u1edbi 0.8, nh\u01b0ng \u0111\u00f4i khi n\u00f3 di chuy\u1ec3n b\u00ean d\u01b0\u1edbi n\u00f3 trong m\u1ed9t th\u1eddi gian d\u00e0i tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi ch\u1ea1m \u0111\u00e1y. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p c\u1ee7a n\u0103m 2018 (v\u00f2ng tr\u00f2n m\u00e0u \u0111\u1ecf) khi gi\u00e1 dao \u0111\u1ed9ng tr\u00ean v\u00e0 d\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00e0i l\u1ea7n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"523\" src=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/04-16-05-builink-mayer-multiple-1024x523.png\" alt=\"Mayer Multiple. Ngu\u1ed3n: BeInCrypto\" class=\"wp-image-15525\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/04-16-05-builink-mayer-multiple-1024x523.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/04-16-05-builink-mayer-multiple-300x153.png 300w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/04-16-05-builink-mayer-multiple-150x77.png 150w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/04-16-05-builink-mayer-multiple-768x393.png 768w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/04-16-05-builink-mayer-multiple-1536x785.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/04-16-05-builink-mayer-multiple-450x230.png 450w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/04-16-05-builink-mayer-multiple-1200x613.png 1200w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/04-16-05-builink-mayer-multiple.png 1622w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption>Mayer Multiple. Ngu\u1ed3n: BeInCrypto<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Mayer Multiple l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o on-chain \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u00ednh b\u1eb1ng t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 gi\u1eefa gi\u00e1 v\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng 200 ng\u00e0y. MA 200 ng\u00e0y l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f4ng nh\u1eadn r\u1ed9ng r\u00e3i \u0111\u1ec3 thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng ho\u1eb7c gi\u1ea3m. Do \u0111\u00f3, Mayer Multiple \u0111\u1ea1i di\u1ec7n cho m\u1ed9t th\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111o kho\u1ea3ng c\u00e1ch so v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c gi\u00e1 trung b\u00ecnh d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n n\u00e0y nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n qu\u00e1 mua v\u00e0 qu\u00e1 b\u00e1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Sau \u0111\u00f3, s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u Mayer Multiple (MM) th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c bi\u1ec3u th\u1ecb d\u01b0\u1edbi d\u1ea1ng m\u1ed9t \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng m\u00e0u xanh lam, v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c 0.8 (xanh l\u00e1 c\u00e2y) v\u00e0 2.4 (\u0111\u1ecf) \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 l\u00e0 gi\u1edbi h\u1ea1n d\u01b0\u1edbi v\u00e0 tr\u00ean. M\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 gi\u1eefa MM v\u00e0 b\u1ed9 dao \u0111\u1ed9ng 0.8 c\u1ee7a n\u00f3 t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 nh\u01b0 gi\u00e1 BTC v\u00e0 b\u1ed9 dao \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a n\u00f3. Do \u0111\u00f3, c\u00e1c \u0111\u00e1y th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng tr\u00f9ng h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c gi\u1ea3m MM xu\u1ed1ng d\u01b0\u1edbi b\u1ed9 dao \u0111\u1ed9ng 0.8. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y x\u1ea3y ra trong th\u00e1ng n\u00e0y (v\u00f2ng tr\u00f2n m\u00e0u \u0111en).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"572\" src=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/04-16-06-builink-mayer-multiple-1024x572.png\" alt=\"Mayer Multiple. Ngu\u1ed3n: BeInCrypto\" class=\"wp-image-15526\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/04-16-06-builink-mayer-multiple-1024x572.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/04-16-06-builink-mayer-multiple-300x167.png 300w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/04-16-06-builink-mayer-multiple-150x84.png 150w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/04-16-06-builink-mayer-multiple-768x429.png 768w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/04-16-06-builink-mayer-multiple-450x251.png 450w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/04-16-06-builink-mayer-multiple-1200x670.png 1200w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/04-16-06-builink-mayer-multiple.png 1297w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption>Mayer Multiple. Ngu\u1ed3n: BeInCrypto<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>C\u00f3 nh\u1eefng \u0111i\u1ec3m t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed3ng gi\u1eefa di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i v\u00e0 chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a th\u00e1ng 7\/2018 (h\u00ecnh ch\u1eef nh\u1eadt m\u00e0u \u0111en). Trong c\u1ea3 hai tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p, MM dao \u0111\u1ed9ng ngay tr\u00ean m\u1ee9c 0.8 c\u1ee7a n\u00f3 trong m\u1ed9t kho\u1ea3ng th\u1eddi gian d\u00e0i. Tuy nhi\u00ean, v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2018, gi\u00e1 BTC cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng \u0111\u00e3 ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 v\u00e0 d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn m\u1ee9c \u0111\u00e1y th\u00e1ng 12\/2018. Do \u0111\u00f3, n\u1ebfu MM kh\u00f4ng gi\u1eef \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c tr\u00ean 0.8, n\u00f3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn m\u1ed9t m\u1ee9c gi\u1ea3m kh\u00e1c.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"574\" src=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/04-16-07-builink-mayer-multiple-2-1024x574.png\" alt=\"Mayer Multiple. Ngu\u1ed3n: BeInCrypto\" class=\"wp-image-15527\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/04-16-07-builink-mayer-multiple-2-1024x574.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/04-16-07-builink-mayer-multiple-2-300x168.png 300w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/04-16-07-builink-mayer-multiple-2-150x84.png 150w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/04-16-07-builink-mayer-multiple-2-768x430.png 768w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/04-16-07-builink-mayer-multiple-2-450x252.png 450w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/04-16-07-builink-mayer-multiple-2-1200x672.png 1200w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/04-16-07-builink-mayer-multiple-2.png 1296w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption>Mayer Multiple. Ngu\u1ed3n: BeInCrypto<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Loi_ket\"><\/span><strong>L\u1eddi k\u1ebft<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>D\u1ef1a v\u00e0o c\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 on-chain c\u1ee7a tu\u1ea7n n\u00e0y, ch\u00fang ta th\u1ea5y c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00e1ng l\u01b0u \u00fd sau \u0111\u00e2y:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><strong>M\u1ed9t l\u00e0<\/strong> MM \u0111\u00e3 l\u1ea5y l\u1ea1i m\u1ee9c 0.8 sau khi ban \u0111\u1ea7u gi\u1ea3m xu\u1ed1ng d\u01b0\u1edbi n\u00f3. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u c\u1ee7a s\u1ef1 ch\u1ea1m \u0111\u00e1y c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng trong l\u1ecbch s\u1eed. Tuy nhi\u00ean, n\u1ebfu MM gi\u1ea3m xu\u1ed1ng d\u01b0\u1edbi m\u1ee9c n\u00e0y m\u1ed9t l\u1ea7n n\u1eefa, \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 c\u00f3 ngh\u0129a l\u00e0 BTC \u0111ang \u1edf trong m\u1ed9t th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng gi\u00e1 xu\u1ed1ng.<\/li><li><strong>Hai l\u00e0<\/strong> t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 Supply in Profit hi\u1ec7n \u0111ang \u1edf m\u1ee9c 67.1%. N\u1ebfu ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 on-chain n\u00e0y ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 m\u1ee9c 62.5% trong nh\u1eefng ng\u00e0y t\u1edbi, gi\u00e1 s\u1ebd c\u00f3 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m m\u1ea1nh.<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Hi v\u1ecdng b\u00e0i vi\u1ebft n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 mang \u0111\u1ebfn cho \u0111\u1ed9c gi\u1ea3 c\u1ee7a Fiahub nh\u1eefng d\u1eef li\u1ec7u on-chain v\u1ec1 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng Bitcoin tu\u1ea7n qua. B\u1ea1n \u0111\u1ecdc c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 xem l\u1ea1i c\u00e1c b\u00e0i ph\u00e2n t\u00edch on-chain h\u00e0ng tu\u1ea7n tr\u00ean Fiahub <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/tag\/on-chain\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">t\u1ea1i \u0111\u00e2y<\/a> v\u00e0 h\u1eb9n g\u1eb7p l\u1ea1i trong b\u00e0i ph\u00e2n t\u00edch h\u00e0ng tu\u1ea7n ti\u1ebfp theo.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>M\u1ed9t v\u00e0i ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 on-chain Bitcoin cho th\u1ea5y c\u00e1c m\u1ed1c quan tr\u1ecdng gi\u00e1 Bitcoin c\u1ea7n gi\u1eef v\u1eefng trong th\u1eddi gian t\u1edbi \u0111\u1ec3 tr\u00e1nh m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ee3t gi\u1ea3m s\u00e2u.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":23,"featured_media":15529,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[21849],"tags":[221,8097],"class_list":{"0":"post-15519","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-phan-tich-nhan-dinh","8":"tag-bitcoin","9":"tag-on-chain"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v25.0 (Yoast SEO v27.6) - 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