{"id":14209,"date":"2022-02-28T10:00:00","date_gmt":"2022-02-28T03:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/?p=14209"},"modified":"2025-05-14T21:04:29","modified_gmt":"2025-05-14T14:04:29","slug":"phan-tich-du-lieu-on-chain-tuan-9-2022","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/phan-tich-du-lieu-on-chain-tuan-9-2022\/","title":{"rendered":"Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch d\u1eef li\u1ec7u on-chain tu\u1ea7n #9: LTH \u0111ang t\u00edch l\u0169y, gi\u00e1 Bitcoin c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 h\u1ed3i l\u1ea1i m\u1ee9c 43,000 USD"},"content":{"rendered":"\r\n<p><em>D\u1eef li\u1ec7u c\u1eadp nh\u1eadt t\u1eeb ng\u00e0y 21\/2 &#8211; 27\/2\/2022.<\/em><\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p><strong>Xem th\u00eam<\/strong>:\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/phan-tich-du-lieu-on-chain-tuan-8-2022\/\">Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch d\u1eef li\u1ec7u on-chain tu\u1ea7n #8: Bitcoin reserve risk ph\u00e1t \u0111i t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u mua<\/a><\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_79_2 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\"><p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">N\u1ed9i dung b\u00e0i vi\u1ebft<\/p>\n<\/div><nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 ' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/phan-tich-du-lieu-on-chain-tuan-9-2022\/#Spent_Output_Age_Bands_SOAB\" >Spent Output Age Bands (SOAB)<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/phan-tich-du-lieu-on-chain-tuan-9-2022\/#HODL_Waves\" >HODL Waves<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/phan-tich-du-lieu-on-chain-tuan-9-2022\/#On-chain_volume\" >On-chain volume<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/phan-tich-du-lieu-on-chain-tuan-9-2022\/#Market_Value_to_Realized_Value_MVRV\" >Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV)<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-5\" href=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/phan-tich-du-lieu-on-chain-tuan-9-2022\/#Funding_rate\" >Funding rate\u00a0<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-6\" href=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/phan-tich-du-lieu-on-chain-tuan-9-2022\/#Loi_ket\" >L\u1eddi k\u1ebft<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Spent_Output_Age_Bands_SOAB\"><\/span><strong>Spent Output Age Bands (SOAB)<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 on-chain SOAB s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng c\u00e1c d\u1ea3i m\u00e0u kh\u00e1c nhau \u0111\u1ec3 hi\u1ec3n th\u1ecb \u0111\u1ed9 tu\u1ed5i (th\u1eddi gian) t\u1eeb khi unspent transaction output (UTXO) cho <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/bitcoin-la-gi-tong-quan-ve-dong-tien-dien-tu-dau-tien\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" data-type=\"post\" data-id=\"1089\">Bitcoin<\/a> (BTC) \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh. L\u1ea5y v\u00ed d\u1ee5, c\u00e1c d\u1ea3i m\u00e0u t\u1eeb 3 th\u00e1ng &#8211; 6 th\u00e1ng s\u1ebd hi\u1ec3n th\u1ecb c\u00e1c giao d\u1ecbch BTC hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i c\u00f3 UTXO \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u1ea1o t\u1eeb 3 &#8211; 6 th\u00e1ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc. Trong \u0111\u00f3:<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\r\n<li>M\u00e0u t\u1ed1i h\u01a1n (m\u00e0u t\u00edm) \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea1i di\u1ec7n cho BTC \u0111\u00e3 chuy\u1ec3n \u0111i c\u00e1ch \u0111\u00e2y r\u1ea5t l\u00e2u.\u00a0<\/li>\r\n<li>Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, c\u00e1c m\u00e0u s\u00e1ng h\u01a1n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng cho th\u1ea5y BTC \u0111\u00e3 di chuy\u1ec3n tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3 trong th\u1eddi gian g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y.<\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>C\u00e1c d\u1ea3i d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n th\u01b0\u1eddng t\u0103ng \u0111\u1ed9t bi\u1ebfn trong l\u1ea7n b\u1eadt l\u00ean \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean, sau khi chu k\u1ef3 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ho\u00e0n th\u00e0nh. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 nh\u00ecn th\u1ea5y v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 2\/2018 (v\u00f2ng tr\u00f2n m\u00e0u \u0111en), khi gi\u00e1 BTC t\u0103ng t\u1eeb 6,000 USD l\u00ean 12,000 USD, sau khi chu k\u1ef3 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ho\u00e0n th\u00e0nh \u1edf m\u1ee9c g\u1ea7n 20,000 USD. M\u1ed9t d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 c\u0169ng \u0111\u00e3 x\u1ea3y ra v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 5\/2021 (v\u00f2ng tr\u00f2n m\u00e0u x\u00e1m), sau khi BTC b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c 60,000 USD.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"573\" class=\"wp-image-14211\" src=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/02-28-01-builink-chi-so-on-chain-soab-1024x573.png\" alt=\"Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 on-chain SOAB. Ngu\u1ed3n: Glassnode\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/02-28-01-builink-chi-so-on-chain-soab-1024x573.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/02-28-01-builink-chi-so-on-chain-soab-300x168.png 300w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/02-28-01-builink-chi-so-on-chain-soab-150x84.png 150w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/02-28-01-builink-chi-so-on-chain-soab-768x430.png 768w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/02-28-01-builink-chi-so-on-chain-soab-450x252.png 450w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/02-28-01-builink-chi-so-on-chain-soab-1200x671.png 1200w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/02-28-01-builink-chi-so-on-chain-soab.png 1294w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/>\r\n<figcaption>Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 on-chain SOAB. Ngu\u1ed3n: Glassnode<\/figcaption>\r\n<\/figure>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>Hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i, h\u01a1n 90% BTC \u0111ang \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c giao d\u1ecbch tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c chuy\u1ec3n t\u1eeb c\u00e1ch \u0111\u00e2y ch\u01b0a \u0111\u1ea7y m\u1ed9t th\u00e1ng. Do \u0111\u00f3, <strong>ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi b\u00e1n ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n \u0111\u00e3 v\u00e0 \u0111ang th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m \u0111ang di\u1ec5n ra.<\/strong><\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"572\" class=\"wp-image-14212\" src=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/02-28-02-builink-chi-so-on-chain-soab-2-1024x572.png\" alt=\"Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 SOAB \" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/02-28-02-builink-chi-so-on-chain-soab-2-1024x572.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/02-28-02-builink-chi-so-on-chain-soab-2-300x167.png 300w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/02-28-02-builink-chi-so-on-chain-soab-2-150x84.png 150w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/02-28-02-builink-chi-so-on-chain-soab-2-768x429.png 768w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/02-28-02-builink-chi-so-on-chain-soab-2-450x251.png 450w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/02-28-02-builink-chi-so-on-chain-soab-2-1200x670.png 1200w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/02-28-02-builink-chi-so-on-chain-soab-2.png 1297w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"HODL_Waves\"><\/span><strong>HODL Waves<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>S\u00f3ng HODL cho th\u1ea5y t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 BTC \u0111\u00e3 di chuy\u1ec3n trong m\u1ed9t kho\u1ea3ng th\u1eddi gian c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3. V\u00ec v\u1eady, n\u1ebfu d\u1ea3i s\u00f3ng HODL trong 1 &#8211; 2 th\u00e1ng c\u00f3 bi\u00ean \u0111\u1ed9 l\u00e0 15%, c\u00f3 ngh\u0129a l\u00e0 15% t\u1ed5ng ngu\u1ed3n cung BTC \u0111\u00e3 di chuy\u1ec3n l\u1ea7n cu\u1ed1i c\u00e1ch \u0111\u00e2y 1 &#8211; 2 th\u00e1ng. Trong tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p c\u1ee7a s\u00f3ng HODL, c\u00e1c d\u1ea3i ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n t\u0103ng \u0111\u1ed9t bi\u1ebfn g\u1ea7n v\u1edbi \u0111\u1ec9nh chu k\u1ef3 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 nh\u00ecn th\u1ea5y trong c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ec9nh chu k\u1ef3 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00e0o c\u00e1c n\u0103m 2013, 2018 v\u00e0 2021 (v\u00f2ng tr\u00f2n m\u00e0u \u0111en), nh\u01b0ng l\u1ea1i c\u00f3 ph\u1ea7n \u00edt h\u01a1n \u1edf m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t m\u1ecdi th\u1eddi \u0111\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a th\u00e1ng 11\/2021 (v\u00f2ng tr\u00f2n m\u00e0u tr\u1eafng).<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"571\" class=\"wp-image-14213\" src=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/02-28-03-builink-chi-so-hodl-waves-1024x571.png\" alt=\"Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 HODL Waves\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/02-28-03-builink-chi-so-hodl-waves-1024x571.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/02-28-03-builink-chi-so-hodl-waves-300x167.png 300w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/02-28-03-builink-chi-so-hodl-waves-150x84.png 150w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/02-28-03-builink-chi-so-hodl-waves-768x429.png 768w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/02-28-03-builink-chi-so-hodl-waves-450x251.png 450w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/02-28-03-builink-chi-so-hodl-waves-1200x670.png 1200w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/02-28-03-builink-chi-so-hodl-waves.png 1294w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/>\r\n<figcaption>Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 HODL Waves<\/figcaption>\r\n<\/figure>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>Th\u00fa v\u1ecb h\u01a1n \u1edf \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 s\u1ef1 gia t\u0103ng c\u1ee7a d\u1ea3i 3m &#8211; 6m, x\u1ea3y ra do k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp c\u1ee7a s\u1ef1 gi\u1ea3m c\u1ee7a d\u1ea3i 1m &#8211; 3m. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y c\u00f3 ngh\u0129a l\u00e0 c\u00e1c th\u1ef1c th\u1ec3 \u0111\u00e3 mua BTC t\u1eeb 1 &#8211; 3 th\u00e1ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3 (v\u00f2ng tr\u00f2n m\u00e0u \u0111en) kh\u00f4ng b\u00e1n, thay v\u00e0o \u0111\u00f3 h\u1ecd n\u1eafm gi\u1eef. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 khi\u1ebfn nh\u1eefng \u0111\u1ed3ng BTC h\u1ecd \u0111ang n\u1eafm gi\u1eef d\u1ecbch chuy\u1ec3n sang d\u1ea3i t\u1eeb 3m &#8211; 6m. T\u1eeb th\u00e1ng 10\/2021 &#8211; th\u00e1ng 1\/2022, gi\u00e1 BTC n\u1eb1m trong kho\u1ea3ng 43,000 USD \u0111\u1ebfn 67,000 USD. Nh\u01b0 v\u1eady, ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi n\u1eafm gi\u1eef n\u00e0y \u0111ang b\u1ecb l\u1ed7 nh\u01b0ng h\u1ecd v\u1eabn kh\u00f4ng b\u00e1n BTC c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"570\" class=\"wp-image-14214\" src=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/02-28-04-builink-chi-so-hodl-waves-1024x570.png\" alt=\"Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 HODL Waves\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/02-28-04-builink-chi-so-hodl-waves-1024x570.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/02-28-04-builink-chi-so-hodl-waves-300x167.png 300w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/02-28-04-builink-chi-so-hodl-waves-150x83.png 150w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/02-28-04-builink-chi-so-hodl-waves-768x427.png 768w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/02-28-04-builink-chi-so-hodl-waves-450x250.png 450w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/02-28-04-builink-chi-so-hodl-waves-1200x668.png 1200w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/02-28-04-builink-chi-so-hodl-waves.png 1292w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>M\u1ed9t \u0111i\u1ec3m \u0111\u00e1ng ch\u00fa \u00fd kh\u00e1c l\u00e0 s\u1ef1 ph\u00ecnh ra c\u1ee7a d\u1ea3i 1y &#8211; 2y, do s\u1ef1 s\u1ee5t gi\u1ea3m t\u1eeb d\u1ea3i 6m &#8211; 12m. T\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 v\u1edbi c\u00e1c d\u1ea3i 1 &#8211; 3 th\u00e1ng, ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn trong s\u1ed1 nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi \u0111ang n\u1eafm gi\u1eef n\u00e0y c\u0169ng v\u1eabn \u0111ang g\u1ed3ng l\u1ed7 ch\u1ee9 kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ecbu b\u00e1n.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"571\" class=\"wp-image-14215\" src=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/02-28-05-builink-chi-so-hodl-waves-1024x571.png\" alt=\"Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 HODL Waves\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/02-28-05-builink-chi-so-hodl-waves-1024x571.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/02-28-05-builink-chi-so-hodl-waves-300x167.png 300w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/02-28-05-builink-chi-so-hodl-waves-150x84.png 150w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/02-28-05-builink-chi-so-hodl-waves-768x429.png 768w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/02-28-05-builink-chi-so-hodl-waves-450x251.png 450w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/02-28-05-builink-chi-so-hodl-waves-1200x670.png 1200w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/02-28-05-builink-chi-so-hodl-waves.png 1292w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"On-chain_volume\"><\/span><strong>On-chain volume<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>M\u1ed9t ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o on-chain kh\u00e1c m\u00e0 ch\u00fang ta c\u0169ng c\u1ea7n ph\u1ea3i l\u01b0u \u00fd li\u00ean quan \u0111\u1ebfn kh\u1ed1i l\u01b0\u1ee3ng giao d\u1ecbch c\u1ee7a Bitcoin. Volume c\u1ee7a BTC \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng v\u1ecdt t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c g\u1ea7n 14 t\u1ef7 USD v\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 19\/2 l\u00ean g\u1ea7n 47 t\u1ef7 USD v\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 24\/2. L\u01b0u \u00fd, s\u1ef1 gia t\u0103ng v\u1ec1 volume n\u00e0y l\u1ea1i x\u1ea3y ra khi gi\u00e1 Bitcoin gi\u1ea3m t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c 40,000 USD xu\u1ed1ng c\u00f2n kho\u1ea3ng 34,000 USD c\u0169ng trong kho\u1ea3ng th\u1eddi gian n\u00e0y. S\u1ef1 ph\u00e2n k\u1ef3 gi\u1eefa bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng gi\u00e1 v\u00e0 volume giao d\u1ecbch \u0111\u00e3 cho th\u1ea5y s\u1ef1 quan t\u00e2m c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi s\u1ef1 s\u1ee5t gi\u1ea3m v\u1ec1 gi\u00e1 trong n\u00e0y. N\u00f3i \u0111\u00fang h\u01a1n l\u00e0 h\u1ecd \u0111ang t\u00edch l\u0169y th\u00eam khi gi\u00e1 gi\u1ea3m.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>L\u1ecbch s\u1eed g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y c\u0169ng \u0111\u00e3 nhi\u1ec1u l\u1ea7n cho th\u1ea5y nh\u1eefng t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 nh\u01b0 v\u1eady. V\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 7\/2, khi gi\u00e1 gi\u1ea3m t\u1eeb kho\u1ea3ng 57,800 USD xu\u1ed1ng c\u00f2n 41,600 USD, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u0169ng \u0111\u00e3 ch\u1ee9ng ki\u1ebfn s\u1ef1 t\u0103ng \u0111\u1ed9t bi\u1ebfn v\u1ec1 kh\u1ed1i l\u01b0\u1ee3ng giao d\u1ecbch Bitcoin. \u0110i\u1ec3m chung \u1edf \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 c\u1ea3 hai l\u1ea7n t\u0103ng n\u00e0y \u0111\u1ec1u tr\u00ean tr\u00ean \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng 200 ng\u00e0y (MA 200). Do \u0111\u00f3, ch\u00fang ta c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 suy ra r\u1eb1ng <strong>nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi t\u00edch l\u0169y Bitcoin trong c\u1ea3 hai l\u1ea7n n\u00e0y \u0111\u1ec1u l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi n\u1eafm gi\u1eef l\u00e2u d\u00e0i (long-term holder &#8211; LTH).<\/strong><\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"347\" class=\"wp-image-14216\" src=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/02-28-06-builink-bitcoin-volume-1024x347.png\" alt=\"Bitcoin volume\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/02-28-06-builink-bitcoin-volume-1024x347.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/02-28-06-builink-bitcoin-volume-300x102.png 300w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/02-28-06-builink-bitcoin-volume-150x51.png 150w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/02-28-06-builink-bitcoin-volume-768x260.png 768w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/02-28-06-builink-bitcoin-volume-1536x520.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/02-28-06-builink-bitcoin-volume-2048x693.png 2048w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/02-28-06-builink-bitcoin-volume-450x152.png 450w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/02-28-06-builink-bitcoin-volume-1200x406.png 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/>\r\n<figcaption>Bitcoin volume<\/figcaption>\r\n<\/figure>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Market_Value_to_Realized_Value_MVRV\"><\/span><strong>Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV)<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>MVRV l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o on-chain d\u00f9ng \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111o l\u01b0\u1eddng l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn ho\u1eb7c thua l\u1ed7 trung b\u00ecnh c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 trong m\u1ed9t khung th\u1eddi gian c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3. \u0110\u1ea1i \u00fd c\u1ee7a n\u00f3 l\u00e0 n\u1ebfu gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb MVRV \u1edf m\u1ee9c d\u01b0\u1edbi -10%, \u0111\u00e2y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u m\u1eebng cho c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0. B\u1edfi l\u1ebd, khi ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o on-chain n\u00e0y \u0111\u1ea1t \u1edf m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u01b0 v\u1eady, n\u00f3 cho th\u1ea5y c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch \u0111ang ho\u1ea3ng lo\u1ea1n v\u00e0 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">b\u00e1n Bitcoin<\/a> c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh. \u0110\u1ed5i l\u1ea1i, \u0111\u00e2y s\u1ebd l\u00e0 c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i cho c\u00e1c LTH t\u00edch l\u0169y th\u00eam Bitcoin.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>Trong kho\u1ea3ng th\u1eddi gian 30 ng\u00e0y, MVRV \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng t\u1eeb -6.8% l\u00ean 2.8% trong ba ng\u00e0y qua. M\u1eb7c d\u00f9 kh\u00f4ng kh\u1eb3ng \u0111\u1ecbnh ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn nh\u01b0ng \u00edt nh\u1ea5t n\u00f3 cho th\u1ea5y d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u nh\u1eefng <strong>LTH \u0111ang t\u00edch l\u0169y th\u00eam Bitcoin khi gi\u00e1 gi\u1ea3m.\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"347\" class=\"wp-image-14217\" src=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/02-28-07-builink-bitcoin-mvrv-1024x347.png\" alt=\"Bitcoin MVRV\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/02-28-07-builink-bitcoin-mvrv-1024x347.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/02-28-07-builink-bitcoin-mvrv-300x102.png 300w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/02-28-07-builink-bitcoin-mvrv-150x51.png 150w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/02-28-07-builink-bitcoin-mvrv-768x260.png 768w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/02-28-07-builink-bitcoin-mvrv-1536x520.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/02-28-07-builink-bitcoin-mvrv-2048x693.png 2048w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/02-28-07-builink-bitcoin-mvrv-450x152.png 450w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/02-28-07-builink-bitcoin-mvrv-1200x406.png 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/>\r\n<figcaption>Bitcoin MVRV<\/figcaption>\r\n<\/figure>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Funding_rate\"><\/span><strong>Funding rate\u00a0<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>Th\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1eddng, ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o on-chain funding rate s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh t\u00e2m l\u00fd c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng. S\u1ebd c\u00f3 hai tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p x\u1ea3y ra \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o n\u00e0y.\u00a0<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\r\n<li>N\u1ebfu gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb d\u01b0\u01a1ng s\u1ebd cho th\u1ea5y r\u1eb1ng h\u1ea7u h\u1ebft c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch \u0111ang tin t\u01b0\u1edfng v\u00e0o ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 c\u1ee7a Bitcoin.\u00a0<\/li>\r\n<li>Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, m\u1ed9t gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb \u00e2m th\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ec9 ra r\u1eb1ng h\u1ea7u h\u1ebft c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch \u0111ang t\u00ecm c\u00e1ch b\u00e1n kh\u1ed1ng t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n.<\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>G\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y, funding rate \u0111ang t\u0103ng l\u00ean v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t m\u1ecdi th\u1eddi \u0111\u1ea1i m\u1edbi v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2022. Tuy nhi\u00ean, funding rate \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1ea3m xu\u1ed1ng -0.00071% trong th\u1eddi gian th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng s\u1ee5p \u0111\u1ed5 g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y cho th\u1ea5y ph\u1ea7n n\u00e0o t\u00e2m l\u00fd ho\u1ea3ng lo\u1ea1n c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0. Tuy nhi\u00ean, <strong>n\u00f3 hi\u1ec7n \u0111ang dao \u0111\u1ed9ng quanh m\u1ee9c 0.001% v\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y l\u00e0m d\u1ea5y l\u00ean hy v\u1ecdng v\u1ec1 m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ee3t t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 Bitcoin s\u1eafp t\u1edbi.<\/strong><\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"347\" class=\"wp-image-14218\" src=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/02-28-08-builink-bitcoin-funding-rate-1024x347.png\" alt=\"Bitcoin funding rate\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/02-28-08-builink-bitcoin-funding-rate-1024x347.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/02-28-08-builink-bitcoin-funding-rate-300x102.png 300w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/02-28-08-builink-bitcoin-funding-rate-150x51.png 150w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/02-28-08-builink-bitcoin-funding-rate-768x260.png 768w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/02-28-08-builink-bitcoin-funding-rate-1536x520.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/02-28-08-builink-bitcoin-funding-rate-2048x693.png 2048w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/02-28-08-builink-bitcoin-funding-rate-450x152.png 450w, https:\/\/www.fiahub.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/02-28-08-builink-bitcoin-funding-rate-1200x406.png 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/>\r\n<figcaption>Bitcoin funding rate<\/figcaption>\r\n<\/figure>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Loi_ket\"><\/span><strong>L\u1eddi k\u1ebft<\/strong><span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>Trong bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng gi\u00e1 ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n, ch\u00fang ta th\u1ea5y r\u1eb1ng gi\u00e1 Bitcoin c\u00f3 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m d\u01b0\u1edbi t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 v\u0129 m\u00f4 nh\u01b0 chi\u1ebfn tranh Nga &#8211; Ukraine. Tuy nhi\u00ean, c\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 on-chain trong tu\u1ea7n v\u1eabn cho th\u1ea5y nh\u1eefng d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u t\u00edch c\u1ef1c. Ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn xu h\u01b0\u1edbng b\u00e1n th\u00e1o x\u1ea3y \u0111\u1ebfn v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi n\u1eafm gi\u1eef trong ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n. H\u1ecd lo s\u1ee3 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn s\u1edbm b\u00e1n th\u00e1o t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y ph\u1ea7n n\u00e0o l\u1ea1i mang \u0111\u1ebfn c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i t\u00edch l\u0169y t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n v\u1edbi gi\u00e1 r\u1ebb cho c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 tin t\u01b0\u1edfng v\u00e0o th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng n\u00e0y. Nhi\u1ec1u nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh cho th\u1ea5y n\u1ebfu t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh nh\u01b0 v\u1eady ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c di\u1ec5n ra, gi\u00e1 Bitcoin s\u1ebd ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i v\u1ec1 m\u1ee9c 42,000 USD &#8211; 43,000 USD trong th\u1eddi gian t\u1edbi.<\/p>\r\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>D\u1eef li\u1ec7u c\u1eadp nh\u1eadt t\u1eeb ng\u00e0y 21\/2 &#8211; 27\/2\/2022. Xem th\u00eam:\u00a0Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch d\u1eef li\u1ec7u on-chain tu\u1ea7n #8: Bitcoin reserve risk ph\u00e1t \u0111i t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u mua Spent Output Age Bands (SOAB) Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 on-chain SOAB s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng c\u00e1c d\u1ea3i m\u00e0u kh\u00e1c nhau \u0111\u1ec3 hi\u1ec3n th\u1ecb \u0111\u1ed9 tu\u1ed5i (th\u1eddi gian) t\u1eeb khi unspent transaction output (UTXO) cho<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":23,"featured_media":14219,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[21849],"tags":[221,8097],"class_list":{"0":"post-14209","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-phan-tich-nhan-dinh","8":"tag-bitcoin","9":"tag-on-chain"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v25.0 (Yoast SEO v26.6) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch d\u1eef li\u1ec7u on-chain tu\u1ea7n 9\/2022 - Fiahub<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"C\u00f9ng Fiahub c\u1eadp nh\u1eadt d\u1eef li\u1ec7u on-chain th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ti\u1ec1n \u0111i\u1ec7n t\u1eed v\u00e0 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a n\u00f3. 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